Trader sentiment for Munich's highest temperature on March 29 hinges on divergent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, with ECMWF clusters centering around 7°C amid persistent cool northerly flows, while GFS outliers suggest 12°C+ if a mild Atlantic ridge builds. Current odds reflect this split, as verified DWD observations show recent highs stuck below 10°C under high-pressure blocking, contrasting late-March climatology averages of 11-12°C. Key differentiator: upper-level jet stream positioning, where a deeper trough favors 6-8°C outcomes (trader consensus ~64% combined), versus zonal flow unlocking warmer advection. Traders eye 12Z model updates for resolution amid 2-3°C daily forecast swings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Munich on March 29?
Highest temperature in Munich on March 29?
7°C 34%
12°C or higher 26%
6°C 18%
8°C 18%
2°C or below
2%
3°C
9%
4°C
14%
5°C
17%
6°C
18%
7°C
29%
8°C
18%
9°C
18%
10°C
17%
11°C
16%
12°C or higher
26%
7°C 34%
12°C or higher 26%
6°C 18%
8°C 18%
2°C or below
2%
3°C
9%
4°C
14%
5°C
17%
6°C
18%
7°C
29%
8°C
18%
9°C
18%
10°C
17%
11°C
16%
12°C or higher
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Munich's highest temperature on March 29 hinges on divergent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, with ECMWF clusters centering around 7°C amid persistent cool northerly flows, while GFS outliers suggest 12°C+ if a mild Atlantic ridge builds. Current odds reflect this split, as verified DWD observations show recent highs stuck below 10°C under high-pressure blocking, contrasting late-March climatology averages of 11-12°C. Key differentiator: upper-level jet stream positioning, where a deeper trough favors 6-8°C outcomes (trader consensus ~64% combined), versus zonal flow unlocking warmer advection. Traders eye 12Z model updates for resolution amid 2-3°C daily forecast swings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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