Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the National Weather Service's latest forecast for Los Angeles, projecting a high temperature in the mid-70s°F on March 29 under a building high-pressure ridge over the West Coast, which limits marine layer intrusion and enhances daytime solar heating. This setup favors 74-77°F outcomes (combined ~50% implied probability), differentiating from cooler 70-71°F bins (12%) via reduced coastal stratus persistence and light northeast winds promoting inland warming, though no strong Santa Ana flow is expected. ECMWF and GFS model runs show slight spread, with upper-70s possible if clearing occurs early; historical March averages hover around 70°F, but current climatological patterns post-El Niño support above-normal warmth. A final NWS update early March 29 could refine resolution at the official downtown LA or LAX station.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Los Angeles on March 29?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 29?
74-75°F 24%
76-77°F 24%
72-73°F 22%
78-79°F 11%
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
24%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
7%
84°F or higher
5%
74-75°F 24%
76-77°F 24%
72-73°F 22%
78-79°F 11%
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
24%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
7%
84°F or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the National Weather Service's latest forecast for Los Angeles, projecting a high temperature in the mid-70s°F on March 29 under a building high-pressure ridge over the West Coast, which limits marine layer intrusion and enhances daytime solar heating. This setup favors 74-77°F outcomes (combined ~50% implied probability), differentiating from cooler 70-71°F bins (12%) via reduced coastal stratus persistence and light northeast winds promoting inland warming, though no strong Santa Ana flow is expected. ECMWF and GFS model runs show slight spread, with upper-70s possible if clearing occurs early; historical March averages hover around 70°F, but current climatological patterns post-El Niño support above-normal warmth. A final NWS update early March 29 could refine resolution at the official downtown LA or LAX station.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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