Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature around 9–10°C for Toronto on March 29, with 10°C or higher at 29% and 9°C at 23.5%, reflecting close model forecasts amid lingering spring uncertainties. Environment Canada and ECMWF guidance show mild conditions driven by a high-pressure ridge over eastern North America, with daytime highs in the upper single digits under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow; however, GFS ensembles indicate 2–3°C spread due to potential cloud cover variations and weak frontal timing. Historical late-March averages hover near 6°C, but positive temperature anomalies from weak El Niño persistence support the warmer tilt. New 12Z model runs expected today could refine probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Toronto on March 29?
Highest temperature in Toronto on March 29?
10°C or higher 37%
9°C 24%
8°C 17%
7°C 14%
0°C or below
1%
1°C
3%
2°C
5%
3°C
5%
4°C
5%
5°C
4%
6°C
9%
7°C
14%
8°C
15%
9°C
24%
10°C or higher
37%
10°C or higher 37%
9°C 24%
8°C 17%
7°C 14%
0°C or below
1%
1°C
3%
2°C
5%
3°C
5%
4°C
5%
5°C
4%
6°C
9%
7°C
14%
8°C
15%
9°C
24%
10°C or higher
37%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature around 9–10°C for Toronto on March 29, with 10°C or higher at 29% and 9°C at 23.5%, reflecting close model forecasts amid lingering spring uncertainties. Environment Canada and ECMWF guidance show mild conditions driven by a high-pressure ridge over eastern North America, with daytime highs in the upper single digits under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow; however, GFS ensembles indicate 2–3°C spread due to potential cloud cover variations and weak frontal timing. Historical late-March averages hover near 6°C, but positive temperature anomalies from weak El Niño persistence support the warmer tilt. New 12Z model runs expected today could refine probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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