Forecast model ensembles from NOAA and the National Weather Service indicate a high near Denver on March 29 in the mid-to-upper 70s°F, with the GFS leaning warmer toward 80-84°F and the ECMWF cooler around 74-77°F, fueling the tight trader consensus across those bins at 17% implied probabilities each. A building high-pressure ridge over the Rockies promises downslope Chinook winds and abundant sunshine, boosting temperatures well above the March climatological average of 57°F, while low soil moisture from ongoing drought amplifies warming potential. However, uncertainty persists in ridge strength and timing, plus possible high clouds, differentiating outcomes; new 12Z model runs expected later today could sharpen the outlook ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Denver on March 29?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 29?
74-75°F 32%
76-77°F 21%
80-81°F 20.5%
84°F or higher 17%
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
17%
84°F or higher
17%
74-75°F 32%
76-77°F 21%
80-81°F 20.5%
84°F or higher 17%
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
17%
84°F or higher
17%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 25, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast model ensembles from NOAA and the National Weather Service indicate a high near Denver on March 29 in the mid-to-upper 70s°F, with the GFS leaning warmer toward 80-84°F and the ECMWF cooler around 74-77°F, fueling the tight trader consensus across those bins at 17% implied probabilities each. A building high-pressure ridge over the Rockies promises downslope Chinook winds and abundant sunshine, boosting temperatures well above the March climatological average of 57°F, while low soil moisture from ongoing drought amplifies warming potential. However, uncertainty persists in ridge strength and timing, plus possible high clouds, differentiating outcomes; new 12Z model runs expected later today could sharpen the outlook ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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