Trader consensus on Denver's March 27 high temperature clusters tightly around 49-55°F, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a sunny day with a high near 52°F, reflecting model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles averaging 51-53°F. Recent 12z runs show slight cooling trends, with GFS favoring sub-52°F peaks due to lingering upper-level trough effects and northerly winds capping diurnal heating, while ECMWF hints at 54°F if mixing strengthens. This differentiates leading bins: 49°F or below gains from potential morning clouds or weak cold air advection (16% implied odds), edging 52-53°F (14.5%) amid Denver's March climatology of 55°F averages but high forecast uncertainty within 3-5°F spreads.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Denver on March 27?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 27?
52-53°F 16%
49°F or below 13%
56-57°F 12%
50-51°F 12%
49°F or below
13%
50-51°F
12%
52-53°F
16%
54-55°F
13%
56-57°F
12%
58-59°F
11%
60-61°F
7%
62-63°F
10%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
9%
68°F or higher
8%
52-53°F 16%
49°F or below 13%
56-57°F 12%
50-51°F 12%
49°F or below
13%
50-51°F
12%
52-53°F
16%
54-55°F
13%
56-57°F
12%
58-59°F
11%
60-61°F
7%
62-63°F
10%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
9%
68°F or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Denver International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDEN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 6:17 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Denver's March 27 high temperature clusters tightly around 49-55°F, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a sunny day with a high near 52°F, reflecting model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles averaging 51-53°F. Recent 12z runs show slight cooling trends, with GFS favoring sub-52°F peaks due to lingering upper-level trough effects and northerly winds capping diurnal heating, while ECMWF hints at 54°F if mixing strengthens. This differentiates leading bins: 49°F or below gains from potential morning clouds or weak cold air advection (16% implied odds), edging 52-53°F (14.5%) amid Denver's March climatology of 55°F averages but high forecast uncertainty within 3-5°F spreads.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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