Recent NOAA model ensembles, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated within the last 24 hours, project Houston's March 27 high temperature in the 82-85°F range amid a strengthening upper-level ridge over Texas, driving the tight trader split between 84-85°F (22.5%) and 82-83°F (18.5%). Southerly winds advecting warm, moist Gulf air will fuel daytime heating above the 78°F climatological average, but uncertainties in sea breeze progression and mid-level cloudiness differentiate outcomes—favoring slight suppression to 82°F or unchecked peaks near 85°F. Low probabilities for 90°F+ reflect minimal heat dome risk, with market-implied mean aligning closely to operational forecasts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Houston on March 27?
Highest temperature in Houston on March 27?
84-85°F 23%
82-83°F 18%
78-79°F 14%
76-77°F 12%
75°F or below
2%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
18%
84-85°F
23%
86-87°F
12%
88-89°F
11%
90-91°F
11%
92-93°F
10%
94°F or higher
3%
84-85°F 23%
82-83°F 18%
78-79°F 14%
76-77°F 12%
75°F or below
2%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
18%
84-85°F
23%
86-87°F
12%
88-89°F
11%
90-91°F
11%
92-93°F
10%
94°F or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 6:23 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent NOAA model ensembles, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated within the last 24 hours, project Houston's March 27 high temperature in the 82-85°F range amid a strengthening upper-level ridge over Texas, driving the tight trader split between 84-85°F (22.5%) and 82-83°F (18.5%). Southerly winds advecting warm, moist Gulf air will fuel daytime heating above the 78°F climatological average, but uncertainties in sea breeze progression and mid-level cloudiness differentiate outcomes—favoring slight suppression to 82°F or unchecked peaks near 85°F. Low probabilities for 90°F+ reflect minimal heat dome risk, with market-implied mean aligning closely to operational forecasts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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