Trader sentiment for Sao Paulo's highest temperature on March 23 clusters tightly around 28°C (27.5%) and 29°C (33.5%), driven by ensemble weather model forecasts from INMET and global systems like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks in this narrow range amid subtropical high-pressure dominance. Recent model runs show slight divergence: clearer skies in some simulations boost solar heating toward 29°C, while scattered convective showers—fueled by lingering moisture from Atlantic inflow—cap it at 28°C, per updated guidance as of March 22. Historical March averages hover near 28.5°C, but this year's fading El Niño amplifies variability, explaining the razor-thin market-implied odds and trader caution ahead of final diurnal observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 23?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 23?
29°C 34%
28°C 28%
30°C 17%
27°C 12.2%
$12,246 Объем
$12,246 Объем
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
12%
28°C
28%
29°C
34%
30°C
17%
31°C
6%
32°C or higher
2%
29°C 34%
28°C 28%
30°C 17%
27°C 12.2%
$12,246 Объем
$12,246 Объем
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
12%
28°C
28%
29°C
34%
30°C
17%
31°C
6%
32°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Sao Paulo's highest temperature on March 23 clusters tightly around 28°C (27.5%) and 29°C (33.5%), driven by ensemble weather model forecasts from INMET and global systems like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks in this narrow range amid subtropical high-pressure dominance. Recent model runs show slight divergence: clearer skies in some simulations boost solar heating toward 29°C, while scattered convective showers—fueled by lingering moisture from Atlantic inflow—cap it at 28°C, per updated guidance as of March 22. Historical March averages hover near 28.5°C, but this year's fading El Niño amplifies variability, explaining the razor-thin market-implied odds and trader caution ahead of final diurnal observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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