Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 29°C (37.5%) and 30°C (30.5%) as Sao Paulo's highest temperature on March 24, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting afternoon peaks of 29-30°C amid persistent high-pressure ridging. Differentiating these close outcomes are subtle model variances: ECMWF's drier boundary layer suggests a nudge toward 30°C via enhanced urban heat island effects, while GFS incorporates more sea-breeze moderation capping at 29°C. Historical March 24 data from INMET averages 28°C, but recent low cloud cover and soil moisture deficits tilt odds higher; traders eye tomorrow's 12Z model runs for resolution-defining clarity on convective interference.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 24?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 24?
29°C 37%
28°C 30%
30°C 30%
31°C 17%
25°C или ниже
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
21%
29°C
38%
30°C
32%
31°C
17%
32°C
3%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
2%
29°C 37%
28°C 30%
30°C 30%
31°C 17%
25°C или ниже
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
21%
29°C
38%
30°C
32%
31°C
17%
32°C
3%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 20, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 29°C (37.5%) and 30°C (30.5%) as Sao Paulo's highest temperature on March 24, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting afternoon peaks of 29-30°C amid persistent high-pressure ridging. Differentiating these close outcomes are subtle model variances: ECMWF's drier boundary layer suggests a nudge toward 30°C via enhanced urban heat island effects, while GFS incorporates more sea-breeze moderation capping at 29°C. Historical March 24 data from INMET averages 28°C, but recent low cloud cover and soil moisture deficits tilt odds higher; traders eye tomorrow's 12Z model runs for resolution-defining clarity on convective interference.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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