Divergent global forecast models are the primary driver of tight trader odds clustered around 27-29°C for Buenos Aires' March 27 high, with ECMWF ensembles leaning toward 27-28°C and GFS runs pushing 29°C amid a building upper-level ridge fostering subsidence warming. Recent model updates reflect a slight bullish shift for warmer outcomes, supported by Servicio Meteorológico Nacional projections near 28°C under clear skies and Atlantic sea surface temperature anomalies boosting advection. Historical late-March baselines hover at 24°C, but low-level humidity and jet stream positioning introduce uncertainty, differentiating slim edges for 28°C (23.5%) over neighbors via precise 850hPa temperature spreads. Traders eye afternoon soundings for resolution clues.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 27?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 27?
27°C 25%
28°C 24%
26°C 15%
29°C 14%
23°C or below
6%
24°C
5%
25°C
4%
26°C
15%
27°C
25%
28°C
24%
29°C
14%
30°C
13%
31°C
6%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
3%
27°C 25%
28°C 24%
26°C 15%
29°C 14%
23°C or below
6%
24°C
5%
25°C
4%
26°C
15%
27°C
25%
28°C
24%
29°C
14%
30°C
13%
31°C
6%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Divergent global forecast models are the primary driver of tight trader odds clustered around 27-29°C for Buenos Aires' March 27 high, with ECMWF ensembles leaning toward 27-28°C and GFS runs pushing 29°C amid a building upper-level ridge fostering subsidence warming. Recent model updates reflect a slight bullish shift for warmer outcomes, supported by Servicio Meteorológico Nacional projections near 28°C under clear skies and Atlantic sea surface temperature anomalies boosting advection. Historical late-March baselines hover at 24°C, but low-level humidity and jet stream positioning introduce uncertainty, differentiating slim edges for 28°C (23.5%) over neighbors via precise 850hPa temperature spreads. Traders eye afternoon soundings for resolution clues.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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