Trader consensus favors a São Paulo high of 31°C at 29% implied probability on March 28, closely trailed by 30°C (21%) and 29°C (18.5%), driven by short-range forecast model spread amid a subtropical ridge fostering subsidence and clear skies for enhanced solar heating. INMET's latest guidance points to daytime maxima near 31°C, building on recent days' anomalies above seasonal norms of 27–29°C due to low humidity and light winds. Discrepancies arise from ensemble variations—GFS leaning warmer at 31–32°C, ECMWF cooler with potential marine layer clouds—compounded by urban heat island amplification at monitoring stations. New 12-hourly updates from INMET and global models tomorrow could sharpen resolution as the date nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 28?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 28?
31°C 29%
30°C 20%
29°C 19%
32°C 12%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
9%
29°C
19%
30°C
20%
31°C
29%
32°C
12%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
2%
31°C 29%
30°C 20%
29°C 19%
32°C 12%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
9%
29°C
19%
30°C
20%
31°C
29%
32°C
12%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a São Paulo high of 31°C at 29% implied probability on March 28, closely trailed by 30°C (21%) and 29°C (18.5%), driven by short-range forecast model spread amid a subtropical ridge fostering subsidence and clear skies for enhanced solar heating. INMET's latest guidance points to daytime maxima near 31°C, building on recent days' anomalies above seasonal norms of 27–29°C due to low humidity and light winds. Discrepancies arise from ensemble variations—GFS leaning warmer at 31–32°C, ECMWF cooler with potential marine layer clouds—compounded by urban heat island amplification at monitoring stations. New 12-hourly updates from INMET and global models tomorrow could sharpen resolution as the date nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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