Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project São Paulo's March 27 high temperature clustering around 29-31°C, fueling trader consensus with 17.5% odds apiece and a 24% shot at 34°C or higher amid lingering El Niño warmth. These odds reflect model divergence: GFS hints at upper-30s peaks under high-pressure ridging and urban heat island amplification, while ECMWF tempers with sea-breeze moderation and isolated thunderstorms. Historical March averages hover at 28.5°C per INMET data, but recent dry spells boost heat potential; upcoming 00Z runs could shift sentiment as convective uncertainty—key differentiator among leaders—resolves nearer resolution. Traders eye INMET's afternoon update for pivotal guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 27 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 27 марта?
34°C или выше 24%
30°C 20%
31°C 20%
29°C 18%
24°C или ниже
8%
25°C
8%
26°C
14%
27°C
16%
28°C
17%
29°C
18%
30°C
17%
31°C
17%
32°C
15%
33°C
12%
34°C или выше
24%
34°C или выше 24%
30°C 20%
31°C 20%
29°C 18%
24°C или ниже
8%
25°C
8%
26°C
14%
27°C
16%
28°C
17%
29°C
18%
30°C
17%
31°C
17%
32°C
15%
33°C
12%
34°C или выше
24%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project São Paulo's March 27 high temperature clustering around 29-31°C, fueling trader consensus with 17.5% odds apiece and a 24% shot at 34°C or higher amid lingering El Niño warmth. These odds reflect model divergence: GFS hints at upper-30s peaks under high-pressure ridging and urban heat island amplification, while ECMWF tempers with sea-breeze moderation and isolated thunderstorms. Historical March averages hover at 28.5°C per INMET data, but recent dry spells boost heat potential; upcoming 00Z runs could shift sentiment as convective uncertainty—key differentiator among leaders—resolves nearer resolution. Traders eye INMET's afternoon update for pivotal guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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