Latest ensemble forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS drive trader consensus toward a Taipei high of 26°C (42.5% implied probability) or 27°C (34.5%), with tight clustering reflecting model spread of 1-2°C amid spring variability. Differentiating factors include anticipated light southerly winds enhancing daytime heating via sea breeze moderation, partial cloud cover limiting peaks above 27°C, and urban heat island effects boosting city readings 1-2°C over rural stations. Historical March 23 averages hover at 24-25°C, but recent warm anomalies and low precipitation risk tilt odds warmer; watch CWA's evening update for resolution-defining precision.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Taipei on March 23?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 23?
26°C 41%
27°C 32%
25°C 19%
28°C 14%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
5%
25°C
19%
26°C
41%
27°C
34%
28°C
18%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
26°C 41%
27°C 32%
25°C 19%
28°C 14%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
5%
25°C
19%
26°C
41%
27°C
34%
28°C
18%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 6:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS drive trader consensus toward a Taipei high of 26°C (42.5% implied probability) or 27°C (34.5%), with tight clustering reflecting model spread of 1-2°C amid spring variability. Differentiating factors include anticipated light southerly winds enhancing daytime heating via sea breeze moderation, partial cloud cover limiting peaks above 27°C, and urban heat island effects boosting city readings 1-2°C over rural stations. Historical March 23 averages hover at 24-25°C, but recent warm anomalies and low precipitation risk tilt odds warmer; watch CWA's evening update for resolution-defining precision.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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