Trader sentiment on Denver's March 28 high temperature leans toward 80°F or higher at 34% implied probability, driven by recent GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs showing an amplifying upper-level ridge over the Rockies, potentially enhancing downslope Chinook winds for record-challenging warmth. NOAA's National Weather Service forecast centers around 70-73°F with sunny skies and light winds, aligning with 72-73°F (18%) and 74-75°F (19%) odds, but model spread reflects uncertainty in ridge strength and timing. Key variables include jet stream positioning, which could push anomalies 10-15°F above the late-March average of 57°F, cloud cover suppressing peaks below 70°F (31% combined), or frontal intrusions capping at 61°F or less (15%). Historical precedents like 81°F in 2012 underscore volatility.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Denver on March 28?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 28?
80°F or higher 34%
78-79°F 22%
74-75°F 20%
72-73°F 16%
61°F or below
11%
62-63°F
9%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
14%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
16%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
22%
80°F or higher
34%
80°F or higher 34%
78-79°F 22%
74-75°F 20%
72-73°F 16%
61°F or below
11%
62-63°F
9%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
14%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
16%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
22%
80°F or higher
34%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Denver's March 28 high temperature leans toward 80°F or higher at 34% implied probability, driven by recent GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs showing an amplifying upper-level ridge over the Rockies, potentially enhancing downslope Chinook winds for record-challenging warmth. NOAA's National Weather Service forecast centers around 70-73°F with sunny skies and light winds, aligning with 72-73°F (18%) and 74-75°F (19%) odds, but model spread reflects uncertainty in ridge strength and timing. Key variables include jet stream positioning, which could push anomalies 10-15°F above the late-March average of 57°F, cloud cover suppressing peaks below 70°F (31% combined), or frontal intrusions capping at 61°F or less (15%). Historical precedents like 81°F in 2012 underscore volatility.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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