Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 9°C (31.5%), 10°C (33.5%), and 11°C (19%) for London's highest temperature on March 26, driven by the latest Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting maxima in this narrow 9-11°C band amid a building high-pressure ridge ushering mild southwesterly airflow. Key differentiators include cloud cover uncertainty from an approaching Atlantic front—prolonged insolation under partial clearing could boost peaks to 11°C via enhanced shortwave radiation absorption, while persistent stratus caps heating at 9°C through reduced surface fluxes. Recent 12Z model runs refined boundary layer mixing, slightly favoring 10°C, aligning with March 26 historical averages near 10°C and urban heat island amplification in central London. Upcoming 00Z updates may shift odds further.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лондоне 26 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Лондоне 26 марта?
10°C 34%
9°C 32%
11°C 18%
8°C 9%
$50,717 Объем
$50,717 Объем
3°C или ниже
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
2%
7°C
2%
8°C
9%
9°C
32%
10°C
34%
11°C
18%
12°C
3%
13°C или выше
3%
10°C 34%
9°C 32%
11°C 18%
8°C 9%
$50,717 Объем
$50,717 Объем
3°C или ниже
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
2%
7°C
2%
8°C
9%
9°C
32%
10°C
34%
11°C
18%
12°C
3%
13°C или выше
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 22, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 9°C (31.5%), 10°C (33.5%), and 11°C (19%) for London's highest temperature on March 26, driven by the latest Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting maxima in this narrow 9-11°C band amid a building high-pressure ridge ushering mild southwesterly airflow. Key differentiators include cloud cover uncertainty from an approaching Atlantic front—prolonged insolation under partial clearing could boost peaks to 11°C via enhanced shortwave radiation absorption, while persistent stratus caps heating at 9°C through reduced surface fluxes. Recent 12Z model runs refined boundary layer mixing, slightly favoring 10°C, aligning with March 26 historical averages near 10°C and urban heat island amplification in central London. Upcoming 00Z updates may shift odds further.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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