Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Miami high of 76-77°F at 27.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 74-75°F at 21.5%, reflecting tight clustering in latest NOAA and ECMWF ensemble forecasts centering diurnal peaks near 76°F for March 20. Key differentiators include variable sea breeze timing—earlier onshore flow could cap temps at 74-75°F by enhancing coastal cooling, while delayed breezes allow 78-79°F under partly sunny skies. Recent GFS 00z runs shifted slightly cooler amid lingering mid-level trough influences, reducing odds for 80°F+ amid climatological March norms of 78-79°F highs. Uncertainty persists until afternoon soundings confirm boundary layer stability, with NWS Miami updates pivotal for final positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Майами 20 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Майами 20 марта?
76-77°F 28%
74-75°F 21%
70-71°F 20.8%
78-79°F 16%
67°F или ниже
1%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
17%
72–73°F
14%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
2%
86°F или выше
1%
76-77°F 28%
74-75°F 21%
70-71°F 20.8%
78-79°F 16%
67°F или ниже
1%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
17%
72–73°F
14%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
2%
86°F или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 16, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Miami high of 76-77°F at 27.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 74-75°F at 21.5%, reflecting tight clustering in latest NOAA and ECMWF ensemble forecasts centering diurnal peaks near 76°F for March 20. Key differentiators include variable sea breeze timing—earlier onshore flow could cap temps at 74-75°F by enhancing coastal cooling, while delayed breezes allow 78-79°F under partly sunny skies. Recent GFS 00z runs shifted slightly cooler amid lingering mid-level trough influences, reducing odds for 80°F+ amid climatological March norms of 78-79°F highs. Uncertainty persists until afternoon soundings confirm boundary layer stability, with NWS Miami updates pivotal for final positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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