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Unrwa predictions & odds

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Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

10%

Donald Trump

$18M Vol.

$126K today

$2M Liq.

175

Ends in 5 months

Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

36%

$150K Vol.

$18.5K Liq.

291

Ends in 13 days

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

8%

May 31

$1M Vol.

$24.6K Liq.

50

Ends in 13 days

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

-

$1 Vol.

$141 Liq.

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

40%

5

$7M Vol.

$325K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?

11%

$24.8K Vol.

$4.4K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

53%

Likud

$2.9K Vol.

$26.3K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

34%

$113K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

11%

June 30

$613K Vol.

$10.8K Liq.

Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?

Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?

1%

$5.2K Vol.

$8.2K Liq.

1

Ends in 13 days

Israel x Syria security agreement by...?

Israel x Syria security agreement by...?

12%

June 30

$7M Vol.

$3M today

$12.4K Liq.

119

Israel military action against Damascus by...?

Israel military action against Damascus by...?

16%

June 30

$183K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

32

Ends in about 1 month

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

30%

$14.0K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

13%

June 30

$3M Vol.

$10.1K Liq.

357

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

33%

December 31

$9.1K Vol.

$200K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

20%

$1.9K Vol.

$10.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

95%

Big / Bigger / Biggest

$1.5K Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

16%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$16.0K Liq.

980

Ends in about 1 month

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

23%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$30.6K Liq.

168

Ends in about 1 month

Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30?

Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30?

15%

$957 Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Unrwa.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Unrwa that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $42.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 10% chance to Donald Trump. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Unrwa predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.