Facebook predictions & odds

Elections·Global Elections

Falealili 1 By-Election Winner

$20.0K Vol.

$68.5K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

26%

Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale

$20.0K Vol.

$68.5K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Politics·Court Cases

Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by October 31?

$1.6K Vol.

$8.5K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

11%

$1.6K Vol.

$8.5K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Elections·Global Elections

Tongatapu 2 By-Election Winner

$3.1K Vol.

$51.6K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

27%

Malakai Matafonuafo'ou 'Ofa ki Wakawaka Koloamatangi

$3.1K Vol.

$51.6K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

Elections·Global Elections

Ongo Niua 17 By-Election Winner

$1.1K Vol.

$17.3K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

47%

'Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana

$1.1K Vol.

$17.3K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

Culture·Art

Will Banksy post to Instagram by September 30?

$972 Vol.

$507 Liq.

Ends in 18 days

30%

$972 Vol.

$507 Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Elections·Global Elections

Vaimauga 3 By-Election Winner

$8.6K Vol.

$26.3K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

75%

Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo

$8.6K Vol.

$26.3K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Politics·Biden

Who will post about $LAPTOP by September 30?

$45.5K Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

14%

Donald Trump Jr.

$45.5K Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Mentions·Social Media

Myspace relaunched in 2026?

$107 Vol.

$806 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

21%

$107 Vol.

$806 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Trump

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 8 - September 15, 2026?

$7.4K Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

26%

140-159

$7.4K Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Tech·AI

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

$63.5K Vol.

$9.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$63.5K Vol.

$9.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Trump

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 11 - September 18, 2026?

$4.3K Vol.

$8.9K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

33%

200+

$4.3K Vol.

$8.9K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Tech·AI

Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?

$30.1K Vol.

$13.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$30.1K Vol.

$13.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Mentions·Truth Social

What will Trump post this week? (September 7 - September 13)

$10.7K Vol.

$425 Liq.

Ends in 1 day

60%

China

$10.7K Vol.

$425 Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Mentions·Twitter

X banned in any European country by December 31?

$13.6K Vol.

$774 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

12%

$13.6K Vol.

$774 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Sports·FA Cup

Needham Market FC vs. Braintree Town FC - Halftime Result

$0 Vol.

$309 Liq.

Ends in 7 days

49%

Yes

$0 Vol.

$309 Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Finance·IPO

Discord IPO by __?

$6.6K Vol.

$6.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

15%

December 31

$6.6K Vol.

$6.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·Google

Top 5 Most Searched People on Google 2026

$12.0K Vol.

$35.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

62%

Erling Haaland

$12.0K Vol.

$35.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Mentions·Elon Tweets

What will Elon post this week? (September 7 - September 13)

$4.8K Vol.

$465 Liq.

Ends in 1 day

48%

ChatGPT

$4.8K Vol.

$465 Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Sports·Games

AD Marco 09 vs. FC Maia Lidador - Halftime Result

$0 Vol.

$295 Liq.

Ends in 8 days

49%

Yes

$0 Vol.

$295 Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Tech·AI

Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by...?

$25.5K Vol.

$999 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

12%

December 31

$25.5K Vol.

$999 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

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Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Facebook.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Facebook that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Falealili 1 By-Election Winner”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $259K in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Who will post about $LAPTOP by September 30?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 94% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Facebook predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Facebook shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Who will post about $LAPTOP by September 30?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Facebook prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Falealili 1 By-Election Winner,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Facebook prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Facebook predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Facebook prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Facebook markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Facebook prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Facebook predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Facebook odds?

Can I track Facebook predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Facebook markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Facebook prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Facebook markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Facebook prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Facebook predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Facebook odds?

Can I track Facebook predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Facebook markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Facebook predictions & odds