Apple’s decision to double MacBook Neo production to 10 million units in May 2026 after strong demand for the $599 entry-level model, which uses a binned A18 Pro chip and 8GB unified memory, underpins the 95.5% market-implied probability that sales will continue. The laptop’s fanless design, 13-inch Liquid Retina display, and integration with Apple Intelligence have driven adoption among students and budget buyers, prompting Apple to source fresh A18 Pro chips despite higher DRAM costs rather than discontinue the line. While a sudden demand collapse, severe component shortages, or strategic pivot toward higher-margin M-series devices could still prompt removal of the model, current supply-chain commitments and ongoing availability on Apple’s site make abrupt discontinuation improbable before the next refresh.