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Executive Action predictions & odds

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Will Trump sign an executive order on...?

Will Trump sign an executive order on...?

31%

May 23

$45.8K Vol.

$28.2K Liq.

1

Ends in 14 days

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

73%

December 31, 2026

$7.3K Vol.

$50 Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

25%

December 31

$1M Vol.

$17.3K Liq.

72

Ends in 8 months

Trump declares election interference national emergency?

Trump declares election interference national emergency?

29%

$156K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

11

Ends in 8 months

Will Trump nationalize elections?

Will Trump nationalize elections?

11%

$15.5K Vol.

$11.4K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?

12%

$62.9K Vol.

$14.0K Liq.

2

Ends in 14 days

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

14%

$10M Vol.

$84.1K Liq.

268

Ends in 8 months

Trump renames ICE to NICE by...?

Trump renames ICE to NICE by...?

10%

June 30

$166K Vol.

$19.1K Liq.

4

Ends in about 1 month

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

16%

$19.8K Vol.

$10.8K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Trump-Xi Summit: What will China announce by May 22?

Trump-Xi Summit: What will China announce by May 22?

32%

Boeing Aircraft Purchase

$180K Vol.

$76.3K Liq.

34

Ends in 5 days

Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

8%

$26.5K Vol.

$26.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

9%

$10.7K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

31%

Petro - Colombia President

$355K Vol.

$265K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Trump ballroom project unblocked by...?

Trump ballroom project unblocked by...?

26%

May 31

$30.3K Vol.

$789 Liq.

4

Ends in 14 days

Trump-Xi Summit: What will Trump announce by May 22?

Trump-Xi Summit: What will Trump announce by May 22?

42%

US-China Board of Trade

$119K Vol.

$93.4K Liq.

23

Ends in 5 days

What will the Press Secretary say during the next White House press briefing?

What will the Press Secretary say during the next White House press briefing?

81%

Iran 5+ times

$5.7K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

36%

8

$1M Vol.

$60.5K today

$121K Liq.

34

Ends in 8 months

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1M Vol.

$74.5K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

8%

$50.9K Vol.

$14.8K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

30%

$14.8K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

11

Ends in 14 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Executive Action.

Polymarket currently hosts 106 active markets for Executive Action that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Trump sign an executive order on...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $14.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Trump declares election interference national emergency? ”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 87% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Executive Action predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.