Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$75,105,069 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 56%

Kevin Warsh 22%

Christopher Waller 12.3%

Rick Rieder 7.1%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$75,105,069
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$75,105,069 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 56%

Kevin Warsh 22%

Christopher Waller 12.3%

Rick Rieder 7.1%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$4,669,717 Vol.

56%

Kevin Warsh

$1,996,418 Vol.

22%

Christopher Waller

$2,080,530 Vol.

12%

Rick Rieder

$1,381,399 Vol.

7%

Scott Bessent

$1,601,015 Vol.

3%

Michelle Bowman

$1,649,587 Vol.

1%

David Malpass

$1,299,164 Vol.

<1%

Judy Shelton

$1,469,304 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$1,697,748 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$1,336,709 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$627,035 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$700,986 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$11,482,916 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$784,038 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$669,589 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,536,735 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$2,245,517 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$1,306,292 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$1,245,543 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,357,421 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,491,818 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$12,328,754 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$784,041 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$237,778 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$14,125,612 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$75,105,069
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.