Banco de la República's unanimous April 30 decision to maintain its benchmark interest rate at 11.25%—defying pre-meeting analyst forecasts for a 50-basis-point hike—drives Polymarket traders' 100% implied probability for no change, reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus on the official outcome. Supporting factors include March headline inflation at 5.6% (46 basis points above December) and core measures at 5.8%, alongside Q1 economic recovery signals like rising energy demand, manufacturing output, and a dynamic labor market with historically low unemployment, balancing inflation convergence risks from Middle East energy shocks. Realistic challenges are negligible post-announcement, though minutes release on May 6 could reveal vote nuances prompting rare resolution disputes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourDécision de la Banque centrale de Colombie en avril ?
Décision de la Banque centrale de Colombie en avril ?
Aucun changement 100.0%
Baisse <1%
Hausse <1%
$110,600 Vol.
$110,600 Vol.
30 avr. 2026
Baisse
Non
Aucun changement
Oui
Hausse
Non
Aucun changement 100.0%
Baisse <1%
Hausse <1%
$110,600 Vol.
$110,600 Vol.
30 avr. 2026
Baisse
$43,434 Vol.
Non
Aucun changement
$31,278 Vol.
Oui
Hausse
$35,888 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Banco de la República's unanimous April 30 decision to maintain its benchmark interest rate at 11.25%—defying pre-meeting analyst forecasts for a 50-basis-point hike—drives Polymarket traders' 100% implied probability for no change, reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus on the official outcome. Supporting factors include March headline inflation at 5.6% (46 basis points above December) and core measures at 5.8%, alongside Q1 economic recovery signals like rising energy demand, manufacturing output, and a dynamic labor market with historically low unemployment, balancing inflation convergence risks from Middle East energy shocks. Realistic challenges are negligible post-announcement, though minutes release on May 6 could reveal vote nuances prompting rare resolution disputes.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Marché ouvert : Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
Volume
$110,600Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Banco de la República's unanimous April 30 decision to maintain its benchmark interest rate at 11.25%—defying pre-meeting analyst forecasts for a 50-basis-point hike—drives Polymarket traders' 100% implied probability for no change, reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus on the official outcome. Supporting factors include March headline inflation at 5.6% (46 basis points above December) and core measures at 5.8%, alongside Q1 economic recovery signals like rising energy demand, manufacturing output, and a dynamic labor market with historically low unemployment, balancing inflation convergence risks from Middle East energy shocks. Realistic challenges are negligible post-announcement, though minutes release on May 6 could reveal vote nuances prompting rare resolution disputes.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$110,600Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Banco de la República's unanimous April 30 decision to maintain its benchmark interest rate at 11.25%—defying pre-meeting analyst forecasts for a 50-basis-point hike—drives Polymarket traders' 100% implied probability for no change, reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus on the official outcome. Supporting factors include March headline inflation at 5.6% (46 basis points above December) and core measures at 5.8%, alongside Q1 economic recovery signals like rising energy demand, manufacturing output, and a dynamic labor market with historically low unemployment, balancing inflation convergence risks from Middle East energy shocks. Realistic challenges are negligible post-announcement, though minutes release on May 6 could reveal vote nuances prompting rare resolution disputes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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