Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 84.5% implied probability to a Banco de la República rate increase at its April 30, 2026 meeting, driven by March inflation accelerating to 5.56% year-over-year—above the 5.47% forecast and the highest in 18 months—following a February reading of 5.29%. This uptick, amid revised central bank projections of 6.3% inflation by year-end 2026 due to supply-side pressures like food costs and imported inputs, reinforces the tightening cycle after 100 basis point hikes to 11.25% in January and March. No-change odds at 14% reflect government criticism of prior moves as overly restrictive on growth, though persistent price pressures dominate sentiment ahead of the decision.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCentral Bank of Colombia Decision in April?
Central Bank of Colombia Decision in April?
Increase 85%
No change 14%
Decrease <1%
$49,913 Vol.
$49,913 Vol.
Decrease
1%
No change
14%
Increase
85%
Increase 85%
No change 14%
Decrease <1%
$49,913 Vol.
$49,913 Vol.
Decrease
1%
No change
14%
Increase
85%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Market Opened: Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 84.5% implied probability to a Banco de la República rate increase at its April 30, 2026 meeting, driven by March inflation accelerating to 5.56% year-over-year—above the 5.47% forecast and the highest in 18 months—following a February reading of 5.29%. This uptick, amid revised central bank projections of 6.3% inflation by year-end 2026 due to supply-side pressures like food costs and imported inputs, reinforces the tightening cycle after 100 basis point hikes to 11.25% in January and March. No-change odds at 14% reflect government criticism of prior moves as overly restrictive on growth, though persistent price pressures dominate sentiment ahead of the decision.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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