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Politics·US Election

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Market icon
Politics·US Election

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance 36.5%

Marco Rubio 20.4%

Tucker Carlson 5.1%

Ron DeSantis 2.8%

Polymarket

$492,545,896 Vol.

J.D. Vance 36.5%

Marco Rubio 20.4%

Tucker Carlson 5.1%

Ron DeSantis 2.8%

Polymarket

$492,545,896 Vol.

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J.D. Vance

$6,899,554 Vol.

37%

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Marco Rubio

$6,635,493 Vol.

20%

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Tucker Carlson

$7,283,485 Vol.

5%

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Ron DeSantis

$8,028,879 Vol.

3%

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Glenn Youngkin

$5,622,207 Vol.

2%

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Thomas Massie

$2,750,371 Vol.

2%

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Donald Trump

$6,339,245 Vol.

2%

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Donald Trump Jr.

$5,921,047 Vol.

2%

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Rand Paul

$15,996,414 Vol.

1%

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Vivek Ramaswamy

$12,366,788 Vol.

1%

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Ivanka Trump

$5,301,967 Vol.

1%

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Ted Cruz

$14,078,684 Vol.

1%

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Elon Musk

$21,732,834 Vol.

1%

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Tulsi Gabbard

$9,191,760 Vol.

1%

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Marjorie Taylor Greene

$3,948,969 Vol.

1%

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Nikki Haley

$7,241,479 Vol.

1%

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Greg Abbott

$17,214,015 Vol.

1%

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Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$28,038,819 Vol.

1%

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$10,958,880 Vol.

1%

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Brian Kemp

$12,916,588 Vol.

1%

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Eric Trump

$4,119,144 Vol.

1%

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Katie Britt

$24,312,980 Vol.

1%

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Kristi Noem

$27,986,855 Vol.

1%

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Tom Brady

$28,331,608 Vol.

1%

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Joe Kent

$1,762,218 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$23,395,157 Vol.

1%

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Matt Gaetz

$15,213,401 Vol.

1%

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Pete Hegseth

$1,674,102 Vol.

1%

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Byron Donalds

$33,174,461 Vol.

1%

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Elise Stefanik

$21,407,914 Vol.

1%

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Josh Hawley

$15,683,047 Vol.

1%

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John Thune

$28,928,735 Vol.

1%

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Steve Bannon

$14,771,406 Vol.

1%

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Erika Kirk

$10,763,190 Vol.

1%

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Mike Pence

$32,568,113 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the frontrunner for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination at 49%, propelled by his cousin Jack Schlossberg's March 7 statement confirming a "definite" bid and surging appeal of the Make America Healthy Again (MAHA) movement to anti-establishment GOP primary voters after his 2024 Trump endorsement. Vice President J.D. Vance holds 36.5% despite dominating recent straw polls, including CPAC's March 29 result at 53%, as odds have fallen to new lows amid reports of administration hurdles and donor hesitancy. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 20.5% reflects gains from Trump's recent praise, shadow "draft" efforts by GOP donors, and his high-profile foreign policy role, in an open field shaped by Trump's term limits and approaching 2026 midterms.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the frontrunner for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination at 49%, propelled by his cousin Jack Schlossberg's March 7 statement confirming a "definite" bid and surging appeal of the Make America Healthy Again (MAHA) movement to anti-establishment GOP primary voters after his 2024 Trump endorsement. Vice President J.D. Vance holds 36.5% despite dominating recent straw polls, including CPAC's March 29 result at 53%, as odds have fallen to new lows amid reports of administration hurdles and donor hesitancy. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 20.5% reflects gains from Trump's recent praise, shadow "draft" efforts by GOP donors, and his high-profile foreign policy role, in an open field shaped by Trump's term limits and approaching 2026 midterms.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the frontrunner for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination at 49%, propelled by his cousin Jack Schlossberg's March 7 statement confirming a "definite" bid and surging appeal of the Make America Healthy Again (MAHA) movement to anti-establishment GOP primary voters after his 2024 Trump endorsement. Vice President J.D. Vance holds 36.5% despite dominating recent straw polls, including CPAC's March 29 result at 53%, as odds have fallen to new lows amid reports of administration hurdles and donor hesitancy. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 20.5% reflects gains from Trump's recent praise, shadow "draft" efforts by GOP donors, and his high-profile foreign policy role, in an open field shaped by Trump's term limits and approaching 2026 midterms.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the frontrunner for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination at 49%, propelled by his cousin Jack Schlossberg's March 7 statement confirming a "definite" bid and surging appeal of the Make America Healthy Again (MAHA) movement to anti-establishment GOP primary voters after his 2024 Trump endorsement. Vice President J.D. Vance holds 36.5% despite dominating recent straw polls, including CPAC's March 29 result at 53%, as odds have fallen to new lows amid reports of administration hurdles and donor hesitancy. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 20.5% reflects gains from Trump's recent praise, shadow "draft" efforts by GOP donors, and his high-profile foreign policy role, in an open field shaped by Trump's term limits and approaching 2026 midterms.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Republican Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "J.D. Vance" at 37%, followed by "Marco Rubio" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $492.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028" is "J.D. Vance" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marco Rubio" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.