Market icon
Politics·US Election

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Market icon
Politics·US Election

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance 36.5%

Marco Rubio 20.5%

Tucker Carlson 5.0%

Ron DeSantis 2.8%

Polymarket

$493,208,644 Vol.

J.D. Vance 36.5%

Marco Rubio 20.5%

Tucker Carlson 5.0%

Ron DeSantis 2.8%

Polymarket

$493,208,644 Vol.

Market icon

J.D. Vance

$6,919,925 Vol.

37%

Market icon

Marco Rubio

$6,647,345 Vol.

20%

Market icon

Tucker Carlson

$7,286,289 Vol.

5%

Market icon

Ron DeSantis

$8,083,173 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Glenn Youngkin

$5,628,165 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Donald Trump

$6,355,004 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Thomas Massie

$2,771,266 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Donald Trump Jr.

$5,933,670 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Rand Paul

$16,010,398 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Vivek Ramaswamy

$12,378,712 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Ivanka Trump

$5,323,483 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Ted Cruz

$14,096,683 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Elon Musk

$21,745,579 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Tulsi Gabbard

$9,208,282 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$3,966,448 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Nikki Haley

$7,258,502 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Greg Abbott

$17,240,757 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$28,059,392 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$10,985,193 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Brian Kemp

$12,950,435 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Eric Trump

$4,142,305 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Katie Britt

$24,333,428 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Kristi Noem

$27,999,140 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Tom Brady

$28,350,674 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Matt Gaetz

$15,233,169 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Kim Kardashian

$23,418,552 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Pete Hegseth

$1,695,042 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Byron Donalds

$33,194,275 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Elise Stefanik

$21,424,499 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Josh Hawley

$15,699,800 Vol.

1%

Market icon

John Thune

$28,943,730 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Joe Kent

$1,788,129 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Steve Bannon

$14,790,902 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Erika Kirk

$10,787,960 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Mike Pence

$32,589,888 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the frontrunner for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination at 49%, propelled by his cousin Jack Schlossberg's March 7 assertion that he will "definitely" run again, amplifying momentum from the MAHA movement and his prior Trump endorsement amid his reported Health and Human Services role. Vice President J.D. Vance holds steady at 36.5% as heir apparent despite mid-March reports of reconsidering a bid due to family priorities, eroding some support. Secretary of State Marco Rubio trails at 20.4%, buoyed by recent donor signals and rising primary odds, though facing an open field shaped by President Trump's constitutional term limits and looming 2026 midterms that could reshape early positioning.

Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the frontrunner for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination at 49%, propelled by his cousin Jack Schlossberg's March 7 assertion that he will "definitely" run again, amplifying momentum from the MAHA movement and his prior Trump endorsement amid his reported Health and Human Services role. Vice President J.D. Vance holds steady at 36.5% as heir apparent despite mid-March reports of reconsidering a bid due to family priorities, eroding some support. Secretary of State Marco Rubio trails at 20.4%, buoyed by recent donor signals and rising primary odds, though facing an open field shaped by President Trump's constitutional term limits and looming 2026 midterms that could reshape early positioning.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the frontrunner for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination at 49%, propelled by his cousin Jack Schlossberg's March 7 assertion that he will "definitely" run again, amplifying momentum from the MAHA movement and his prior Trump endorsement amid his reported Health and Human Services role. Vice President J.D. Vance holds steady at 36.5% as heir apparent despite mid-March reports of reconsidering a bid due to family priorities, eroding some support. Secretary of State Marco Rubio trails at 20.4%, buoyed by recent donor signals and rising primary odds, though facing an open field shaped by President Trump's constitutional term limits and looming 2026 midterms that could reshape early positioning.

Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the frontrunner for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination at 49%, propelled by his cousin Jack Schlossberg's March 7 assertion that he will "definitely" run again, amplifying momentum from the MAHA movement and his prior Trump endorsement amid his reported Health and Human Services role. Vice President J.D. Vance holds steady at 36.5% as heir apparent despite mid-March reports of reconsidering a bid due to family priorities, eroding some support. Secretary of State Marco Rubio trails at 20.4%, buoyed by recent donor signals and rising primary odds, though facing an open field shaped by President Trump's constitutional term limits and looming 2026 midterms that could reshape early positioning.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Related

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Republican Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "J.D. Vance" at 37%, followed by "Marco Rubio" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $493.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028" is "J.D. Vance" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marco Rubio" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.