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Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round 2nd Place

Market icon

Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round 2nd Place

André Ventura (CH) 100.0%

Tim Vieira (IND) <1%

André Pestana (IND) <1%

Orlando Cruz (IND) <1%

Polymarket

$1,566,637 Vol.

André Ventura (CH) 100.0%

Tim Vieira (IND) <1%

André Pestana (IND) <1%

Orlando Cruz (IND) <1%

Polymarket

$1,566,637 Vol.

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Tim Vieira (IND)

$59,603 Vol.

No

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André Pestana (IND)

$154,213 Vol.

No

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Orlando Cruz (IND)

$69,389 Vol.

No

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Manuela Magno (IND)

$48,791 Vol.

No

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Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$43,035 Vol.

No

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António José Seguro (IND)

$91,092 Vol.

No

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Ângela Maryah (IND)

$45,696 Vol.

No

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Raul Perestrello (IND)

$37,114 Vol.

No

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Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$34,349 Vol.

No

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João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

$173,338 Vol.

No

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Paulo Portas (CDS)

$36,432 Vol.

No

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Manuel João Vieira

$25,290 Vol.

No

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Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$53,054 Vol.

No

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André Ventura (CH)

$117,157 Vol.

Yes

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Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$37,859 Vol.

No

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Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$73,225 Vol.

No

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Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$57,033 Vol.

No

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Vitorino Silva (IND)

$39,742 Vol.

No

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António Filipe (PCP)

$69,691 Vol.

No

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José Cardoso (PLS)

$43,656 Vol.

No

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Jorge Pinto

$117,873 Vol.

No

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Rui Moreira (IND)

$49,730 Vol.

No

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Catarina Martins (BE)

$60,173 Vol.

No

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Humberto Correia

$29,101 Vol.

No

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that receives the second-highest number of valid votes in the first round of this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the first round of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
Volume
$1,566,637
End Date
Jan 18, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 3, 2025, 3:36 PM ET
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that receives the second-highest number of valid votes in the first round of this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the first round of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round 2nd Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "André Ventura (CH)" at 100%, followed by "Tim Vieira (IND)" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round 2nd Place" has generated $1.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 3, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round 2nd Place," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round 2nd Place" is "André Ventura (CH)" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tim Vieira (IND)" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round 2nd Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.