President Trump authorized Operation Epic Fury on March 1, 2026, launching US and Israeli airstrikes targeting Iran's nuclear program, leadership, ballistic missiles, and military infrastructure amid heightened regional tensions. Over the past 28 days, operations have decimated much of Iran's air force, navy, and installations, with Trump stating on March 28 that the regime is "being decimated" and Secretary of State Rubio indicating on March 27 an expected conclusion in weeks, not months. A March 26 pause on energy site strikes signals de-escalation potential, but no formal end announcement has occurred, leaving traders monitoring White House statements and diplomatic signals for resolution triggers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
$7,413,834 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
March 31
3%
April 7
14%
April 15
29%
April 30
48%
June 30
67%
$7,413,834 Vol.
March 31
$4,648,224 Vol.
3%
April 7
$174,383 Vol.
14%
April 15
$558,615 Vol.
29%
April 30
$1,264,846 Vol.
48%
June 30
$577,388 Vol.
67%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump authorized Operation Epic Fury on March 1, 2026, launching US and Israeli airstrikes targeting Iran's nuclear program, leadership, ballistic missiles, and military infrastructure amid heightened regional tensions. Over the past 28 days, operations have decimated much of Iran's air force, navy, and installations, with Trump stating on March 28 that the regime is "being decimated" and Secretary of State Rubio indicating on March 27 an expected conclusion in weeks, not months. A March 26 pause on energy site strikes signals de-escalation potential, but no formal end announcement has occurred, leaving traders monitoring White House statements and diplomatic signals for resolution triggers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 6, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Volume
$7,413,834End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 6, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump authorized Operation Epic Fury on March 1, 2026, launching US and Israeli airstrikes targeting Iran's nuclear program, leadership, ballistic missiles, and military infrastructure amid heightened regional tensions. Over the past 28 days, operations have decimated much of Iran's air force, navy, and installations, with Trump stating on March 28 that the regime is "being decimated" and Secretary of State Rubio indicating on March 27 an expected conclusion in weeks, not months. A March 26 pause on energy site strikes signals de-escalation potential, but no formal end announcement has occurred, leaving traders monitoring White House statements and diplomatic signals for resolution triggers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,413,834End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 6, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump authorized Operation Epic Fury on March 1, 2026, launching US and Israeli airstrikes targeting Iran's nuclear program, leadership, ballistic missiles, and military infrastructure amid heightened regional tensions. Over the past 28 days, operations have decimated much of Iran's air force, navy, and installations, with Trump stating on March 28 that the regime is "being decimated" and Secretary of State Rubio indicating on March 27 an expected conclusion in weeks, not months. A March 26 pause on energy site strikes signals de-escalation potential, but no formal end announcement has occurred, leaving traders monitoring White House statements and diplomatic signals for resolution triggers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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