Ohio's 11th Congressional District, with a Cook PVI of D+28, remains a Democratic stronghold under the new map adopted after October 2025 redistricting, anchoring trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party. Incumbent Shontel Brown, who won 78% in 2024, dominates fundraising with over $1 million cash on hand through December 2025, far outpacing Democratic primary challengers Sean Freeman and Ardelia Holmes, as well as Republicans James Hemphill and Mike Kirchner. Consistent Safe/Solid Democratic ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball, Cook Political Report, and Inside Elections reflect historical margins and weak GOP opposition. The May 5 primaries pose minimal risk, though a Democratic nominee scandal, health issue, or massive national Republican wave could challenge this outlook.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$0 Vol.
94%
共和党
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 11th Congressional District, with a Cook PVI of D+28, remains a Democratic stronghold under the new map adopted after October 2025 redistricting, anchoring trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party. Incumbent Shontel Brown, who won 78% in 2024, dominates fundraising with over $1 million cash on hand through December 2025, far outpacing Democratic primary challengers Sean Freeman and Ardelia Holmes, as well as Republicans James Hemphill and Mike Kirchner. Consistent Safe/Solid Democratic ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball, Cook Political Report, and Inside Elections reflect historical margins and weak GOP opposition. The May 5 primaries pose minimal risk, though a Democratic nominee scandal, health issue, or massive national Republican wave could challenge this outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 11th Congressional District, with a Cook PVI of D+28, remains a Democratic stronghold under the new map adopted after October 2025 redistricting, anchoring trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party. Incumbent Shontel Brown, who won 78% in 2024, dominates fundraising with over $1 million cash on hand through December 2025, far outpacing Democratic primary challengers Sean Freeman and Ardelia Holmes, as well as Republicans James Hemphill and Mike Kirchner. Consistent Safe/Solid Democratic ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball, Cook Political Report, and Inside Elections reflect historical margins and weak GOP opposition. The May 5 primaries pose minimal risk, though a Democratic nominee scandal, health issue, or massive national Republican wave could challenge this outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$0終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ohio's 11th Congressional District, with a Cook PVI of D+28, remains a Democratic stronghold under the new map adopted after October 2025 redistricting, anchoring trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party. Incumbent Shontel Brown, who won 78% in 2024, dominates fundraising with over $1 million cash on hand through December 2025, far outpacing Democratic primary challengers Sean Freeman and Ardelia Holmes, as well as Republicans James Hemphill and Mike Kirchner. Consistent Safe/Solid Democratic ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball, Cook Political Report, and Inside Elections reflect historical margins and weak GOP opposition. The May 5 primaries pose minimal risk, though a Democratic nominee scandal, health issue, or massive national Republican wave could challenge this outlook.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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