Rep. Tom Barrett (R), who narrowly flipped Michigan's competitive 7th Congressional District in 2024, faces heightened vulnerability after recent reports revealed his campaign and allied committees paid over $50,000 to firms employing his wife for consulting and legal services, drawing fire from Democrats and fueling ethical concerns. A fresh poll shows Democrat William Lawrence leading the crowded primary field at 45% among informed voters, signaling a motivated challenger slate including ex-Ambassador Bridget Brink. This battleground seat, rated a top Democratic target amid midterm dynamics favoring the out-party, has traders pricing a party-line Democratic victory at 86%, with the August 4 primaries as the next key milestone.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
86%
共和党
10%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$944 Vol.
86%
共和党
$342 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rep. Tom Barrett (R), who narrowly flipped Michigan's competitive 7th Congressional District in 2024, faces heightened vulnerability after recent reports revealed his campaign and allied committees paid over $50,000 to firms employing his wife for consulting and legal services, drawing fire from Democrats and fueling ethical concerns. A fresh poll shows Democrat William Lawrence leading the crowded primary field at 45% among informed voters, signaling a motivated challenger slate including ex-Ambassador Bridget Brink. This battleground seat, rated a top Democratic target amid midterm dynamics favoring the out-party, has traders pricing a party-line Democratic victory at 86%, with the August 4 primaries as the next key milestone.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
音量
$1,286終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rep. Tom Barrett (R), who narrowly flipped Michigan's competitive 7th Congressional District in 2024, faces heightened vulnerability after recent reports revealed his campaign and allied committees paid over $50,000 to firms employing his wife for consulting and legal services, drawing fire from Democrats and fueling ethical concerns. A fresh poll shows Democrat William Lawrence leading the crowded primary field at 45% among informed voters, signaling a motivated challenger slate including ex-Ambassador Bridget Brink. This battleground seat, rated a top Democratic target amid midterm dynamics favoring the out-party, has traders pricing a party-line Democratic victory at 86%, with the August 4 primaries as the next key milestone.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$1,286終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rep. Tom Barrett (R), who narrowly flipped Michigan's competitive 7th Congressional District in 2024, faces heightened vulnerability after recent reports revealed his campaign and allied committees paid over $50,000 to firms employing his wife for consulting and legal services, drawing fire from Democrats and fueling ethical concerns. A fresh poll shows Democrat William Lawrence leading the crowded primary field at 45% among informed voters, signaling a motivated challenger slate including ex-Ambassador Bridget Brink. This battleground seat, rated a top Democratic target amid midterm dynamics favoring the out-party, has traders pricing a party-line Democratic victory at 86%, with the August 4 primaries as the next key milestone.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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