Republican John McGuire, the incumbent first elected in 2024 after defeating former Rep. Bob Good in the GOP primary, holds a strong position in Virginia’s 5th Congressional District ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district, which Trump carried by 12 points in 2024, carries a Republican-leaning partisan voting index and receives Solid Republican or Likely Republican ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report. Multiple Democrats, including former Rep. Tom Perriello, are competing in the August primary, yet no polling or structural changes have narrowed the gap enough to challenge the seat’s baseline Republican advantage. Traders’ 74.5% consensus on the Republican nominee reflects these electoral fundamentals and the absence of recent developments that would shift the race into toss-up territory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$53,105 Vol.
$53,105 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
75%
民主党
26%
$53,105 Vol.
$53,105 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$24,592 Vol.
75%
民主党
$28,513 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican John McGuire, the incumbent first elected in 2024 after defeating former Rep. Bob Good in the GOP primary, holds a strong position in Virginia’s 5th Congressional District ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district, which Trump carried by 12 points in 2024, carries a Republican-leaning partisan voting index and receives Solid Republican or Likely Republican ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report. Multiple Democrats, including former Rep. Tom Perriello, are competing in the August primary, yet no polling or structural changes have narrowed the gap enough to challenge the seat’s baseline Republican advantage. Traders’ 74.5% consensus on the Republican nominee reflects these electoral fundamentals and the absence of recent developments that would shift the race into toss-up territory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$53,105終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican John McGuire, the incumbent first elected in 2024 after defeating former Rep. Bob Good in the GOP primary, holds a strong position in Virginia’s 5th Congressional District ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district, which Trump carried by 12 points in 2024, carries a Republican-leaning partisan voting index and receives Solid Republican or Likely Republican ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report. Multiple Democrats, including former Rep. Tom Perriello, are competing in the August primary, yet no polling or structural changes have narrowed the gap enough to challenge the seat’s baseline Republican advantage. Traders’ 74.5% consensus on the Republican nominee reflects these electoral fundamentals and the absence of recent developments that would shift the race into toss-up territory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$53,105終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican John McGuire, the incumbent first elected in 2024 after defeating former Rep. Bob Good in the GOP primary, holds a strong position in Virginia’s 5th Congressional District ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district, which Trump carried by 12 points in 2024, carries a Republican-leaning partisan voting index and receives Solid Republican or Likely Republican ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report. Multiple Democrats, including former Rep. Tom Perriello, are competing in the August primary, yet no polling or structural changes have narrowed the gap enough to challenge the seat’s baseline Republican advantage. Traders’ 74.5% consensus on the Republican nominee reflects these electoral fundamentals and the absence of recent developments that would shift the race into toss-up territory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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