Will Seguro win Portugal's Overseas Vote?
$245,906 Vol.
$245,906 Vol.
Feb 8, 2026
Second-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on February 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if António José Seguro receives the highest number of valid votes cast by Portuguese voters abroad in the second round of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A tie for the highest number of valid votes will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the result of the second round of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, such as on the Website of the Portuguese Ministry of Internal Administration (Ministério da Administração Interna) (www.presidenciais2026.mai.gov.pt).Second-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on February 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if António José Seguro receives the highest number of valid votes cast by Portuguese voters abroad in the second round of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A tie for the highest number of valid votes will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the result of the second round of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, such as on the Website of the Portuguese Ministry of Internal Administration (Ministério da Administração Interna) (www.presidenciais2026.mai.gov.pt).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if António José Seguro receives the highest number of valid votes cast by Portuguese voters abroad in the second round of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A tie for the highest number of valid votes will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the result of the second round of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, such as on the Website of the Portuguese Ministry of Internal Administration (Ministério da Administração Interna) (www.presidenciais2026.mai.gov.pt).
Created At: Feb 7, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
Volume
$245,906End Date
Feb 8, 2026Created At
Feb 7, 2026, 6:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Will Seguro win Portugal's Overseas Vote?
$245,906 Vol.
$245,906 Vol.
Feb 8, 2026
Second-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on February 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if António José Seguro receives the highest number of valid votes cast by Portuguese voters abroad in the second round of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A tie for the highest number of valid votes will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the result of the second round of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, such as on the Website of the Portuguese Ministry of Internal Administration (Ministério da Administração Interna) (www.presidenciais2026.mai.gov.pt).Second-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on February 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if António José Seguro receives the highest number of valid votes cast by Portuguese voters abroad in the second round of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A tie for the highest number of valid votes will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the result of the second round of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, such as on the Website of the Portuguese Ministry of Internal Administration (Ministério da Administração Interna) (www.presidenciais2026.mai.gov.pt).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if António José Seguro receives the highest number of valid votes cast by Portuguese voters abroad in the second round of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A tie for the highest number of valid votes will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the result of the second round of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, such as on the Website of the Portuguese Ministry of Internal Administration (Ministério da Administração Interna) (www.presidenciais2026.mai.gov.pt).
Volume
$245,906End Date
Feb 8, 2026Created At
Feb 7, 2026, 6:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions
"Will Seguro win Portugal's Overseas Vote?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "Will Seguro win Portugal's Overseas Vote?" has generated $245.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "Will Seguro win Portugal's Overseas Vote?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current probability for "Will Seguro win Portugal's Overseas Vote?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.
The resolution rules for "Will Seguro win Portugal's Overseas Vote?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions