Trader consensus favors "No" at 67.5% on a Turkish constitutional referendum announcement in 2026 due to the absence of official action from President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan or the Grand National Assembly despite AKP-led efforts earlier this year. An AKP constitutional commission drafted a new charter and prepared to submit it to Erdoğan by late February 2026, amid signals from allies like the deputy parliament speaker predicting steps to enable another term beyond 2028 limits. However, no bill has advanced in parliament, where the ruling coalition holds around 320 seats—short of the 360 needed for referendum submission—facing opposition from CHP amid calls for early elections. With no updates in the past month, traders weigh procedural delays and political risks against the year-end deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
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Dec 31, 2026
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Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors "No" at 67.5% on a Turkish constitutional referendum announcement in 2026 due to the absence of official action from President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan or the Grand National Assembly despite AKP-led efforts earlier this year. An AKP constitutional commission drafted a new charter and prepared to submit it to Erdoğan by late February 2026, amid signals from allies like the deputy parliament speaker predicting steps to enable another term beyond 2028 limits. However, no bill has advanced in parliament, where the ruling coalition holds around 320 seats—short of the 360 needed for referendum submission—facing opposition from CHP amid calls for early elections. With no updates in the past month, traders weigh procedural delays and political risks against the year-end deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Volume
$281End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors "No" at 67.5% on a Turkish constitutional referendum announcement in 2026 due to the absence of official action from President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan or the Grand National Assembly despite AKP-led efforts earlier this year. An AKP constitutional commission drafted a new charter and prepared to submit it to Erdoğan by late February 2026, amid signals from allies like the deputy parliament speaker predicting steps to enable another term beyond 2028 limits. However, no bill has advanced in parliament, where the ruling coalition holds around 320 seats—short of the 360 needed for referendum submission—facing opposition from CHP amid calls for early elections. With no updates in the past month, traders weigh procedural delays and political risks against the year-end deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$281End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors "No" at 67.5% on a Turkish constitutional referendum announcement in 2026 due to the absence of official action from President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan or the Grand National Assembly despite AKP-led efforts earlier this year. An AKP constitutional commission drafted a new charter and prepared to submit it to Erdoğan by late February 2026, amid signals from allies like the deputy parliament speaker predicting steps to enable another term beyond 2028 limits. However, no bill has advanced in parliament, where the ruling coalition holds around 320 seats—short of the 360 needed for referendum submission—facing opposition from CHP amid calls for early elections. With no updates in the past month, traders weigh procedural delays and political risks against the year-end deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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