Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?

Name: Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?
Start: 2026-03-16T21:17:48.045Z
End: 2026-03-31T00:00:00.000Z

Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...? — Discussion

LambdaSquared · 2026-03-16T21:17:48.045Z

Discussion about Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?. Traders share insights and predictions on Polymarket.

Politics·Iran

Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?

NEW

Mar 21, 2026

March 27

$11 Vol.

27%

March 28

$0 Vol.

28%

March 29

$0 Vol.

28%

March 30

$0 Vol.

26%

March 31

$0 Vol.

26%

$449 Vol.

March 27

$11 Vol.

27%

March 28

$0 Vol.

28%

March 29

$0 Vol.

28%

March 30

$0 Vol.

26%

March 31

$0 Vol.

26%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official X profile of Supreme Leader of Iran Mojtaba Khamenei posts/tweets again between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Posts include any post, repost, or reply.

The resolution source for this market are Mojtaba Khamenei's official X profile: https://x.com/mkhamenei_ir. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.

Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 9:06 PM ET

Volume

$449

End Date

Mar 31, 2026

Market Opened

Mar 24, 2026, 9:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Mojtaba Khamenei, second son of Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and a rumored power broker in the clerical establishment, maintains absolute media silence with no verified X (formerly Twitter) account or public posts. This reclusive stance aligns with his behind-the-scenes influence amid ongoing speculation about succession amid the Supreme Leader's age and health concerns. No developments in the past 30 days, including recent Iran-Israel escalations or domestic protests, indicate any shift toward social media engagement. Traders price low odds on a tweet due to the absence of precedent and authentication challenges; resolution hinges on a confirmed account posting by the deadline, with no scheduled events likely to prompt public activity.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated Mar 27, 2026, 6:51 AM UTC

Iran leadership change by December 31?

51%

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?

35%

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?

19%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "March 18, 2026" at 100%, followed by "March 19, 2026" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 16, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?" is "March 18, 2026" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "March 19, 2026" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 100¢ for "March 18, 2026" in the "Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 100% chance that "March 18, 2026" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 100¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 0¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Mar 31, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?" market has an active community of 36 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Note on Middle East Markets

Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?

Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?

Rules

Market Context

Rules

Market Context

Related

Comments (36)

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?"?

What are the current odds for "Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?"?

How will "Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?" be resolved?

Can I follow "Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?"?

What does a price of 100¢ for "March 18, 2026" mean?

When does the "Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?" market close?

What are traders saying about "Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?"?

What is Polymarket?