Market icon

Will Elon Musk tweet more August 18 than day before?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$18,225 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts more times on X on August 18, 2025 (ET), than on August 17, 2025 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker do not count toward the total.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$18,225
End Date
Aug 19, 2025
Created At
Aug 14, 2025, 7:01 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts more times on X on August 18, 2025 (ET), than on August 17, 2025 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker do not count toward the total. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Will Elon Musk tweet more August 18 than day before?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$18,225 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts more times on X on August 18, 2025 (ET), than on August 17, 2025 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker do not count toward the total.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$18,225
End Date
Aug 19, 2025
Created At
Aug 14, 2025, 7:01 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts more times on X on August 18, 2025 (ET), than on August 17, 2025 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker do not count toward the total. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.