Market icon

How many people will Trump deport in 2025?

$4,105,628 Vol.

250-500k 88%

500-750k 8.8%

2m+ 1.4%

<250k 1.0%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) removes less than 250,000 non citizens in the 2025 fiscal year. Otherwise, this market ill resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
Volume
$4,105,628
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Jan 5, 2025, 7:47 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.

$4,105,628 Vol.

Market icon

How many people will Trump deport in 2025?

250-500k 88%

500-750k 8.8%

2m+ 1.4%

<250k 1.0%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

<250k

$895,464 Vol.

1%

250-500k

$985,662 Vol.

88%

500-750k

$398,957 Vol.

9%

750k-1m

$358,734 Vol.

1%

1-1.25m

$339,901 Vol.

<1%

1.25-1.5m

$291,779 Vol.

<1%

1.5-1.75m

$299,721 Vol.

<1%

1.75-2m

$255,561 Vol.

<1%

2m+

$279,923 Vol.

1%

About

Volume
$4,105,628
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Jan 5, 2025, 7:47 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.