How many people will Trump deport in 2025?
$4,077,609 Vol.
250-500k 92%
500-750k 5.9%
<250k <1%
2m+ <1%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
<250k
$894,541 Vol.
1%
<250k
$894,541 Vol.
1%
250-500k
$974,209 Vol.
92%
250-500k
$974,209 Vol.
92%
500-750k
$392,620 Vol.
6%
500-750k
$392,620 Vol.
6%
750k-1m
$354,777 Vol.
1%
750k-1m
$354,777 Vol.
1%
1-1.25m
$338,970 Vol.
<1%
1-1.25m
$338,970 Vol.
<1%
1.25-1.5m
$290,843 Vol.
<1%
1.25-1.5m
$290,843 Vol.
<1%
1.5-1.75m
$298,933 Vol.
1%
1.5-1.75m
$298,933 Vol.
1%
1.75-2m
$254,645 Vol.
<1%
1.75-2m
$254,645 Vol.
<1%
2m+
$278,070 Vol.
1%
2m+
$278,070 Vol.
1%
Rules
During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) removes less than 250,000 non citizens in the 2025 fiscal year. Otherwise, this market ill resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) removes less than 250,000 non citizens in the 2025 fiscal year. Otherwise, this market ill resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
Created At: Jan 5, 2025, 7:47 PM UTC
Volume
$4,077,609End Date
Dec 31, 2025Created At
Jan 5, 2025, 7:47 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...$4,077,609 Vol.
How many people will Trump deport in 2025?
250-500k 92%
500-750k 5.9%
<250k <1%
2m+ <1%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
<250k
$894,541 Vol.
1%
250-500k
$974,209 Vol.
92%
500-750k
$392,620 Vol.
6%
750k-1m
$354,777 Vol.
1%
1-1.25m
$338,970 Vol.
<1%
1.25-1.5m
$290,843 Vol.
<1%
1.5-1.75m
$298,933 Vol.
1%
1.75-2m
$254,645 Vol.
<1%
2m+
$278,070 Vol.
1%
About
Volume
$4,077,609End Date
Dec 31, 2025Created At
Jan 5, 2025, 7:47 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Beware of external links.
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Beware of external links.
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