Market icon

How many people will Trump deport in 2025?

250-500k 87.7%

<250k 5.5%

500-750k 3.8%

750k-1m 1.8%

Polymarket

$10,416,267 Vol.

During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) removes less than 250,000 non citizens in the 2025 fiscal year. Otherwise, this market ill resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
Volume
$10,416,267
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Jan 5, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf). This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) removes less than 250,000 non citizens in the 2025 fiscal year. Otherwise, this market ill resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.

Beware of external links.

Market icon

How many people will Trump deport in 2025?

250-500k 87.7%

<250k 5.5%

500-750k 3.8%

750k-1m 1.8%

Polymarket

$10,416,267 Vol.

<250k

$1,148,529 Vol.

6%

250-500k

$6,190,658 Vol.

88%

500-750k

$511,522 Vol.

4%

750k-1m

$497,705 Vol.

2%

1-1.25m

$493,883 Vol.

1%

1.25-1.5m

$416,600 Vol.

<1%

1.5-1.75m

$426,968 Vol.

<1%

1.75-2m

$356,113 Vol.

<1%

2m+

$374,290 Vol.

<1%

Beware of external links.