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Where will the US & Iran meet in person?

Market icon

Where will the US & Iran meet in person?

$3,216,632 Vol.

Feb 13, 2026
Polymarket

$3,216,632 Vol.

Polymarket

Oman

$2,718,220 Vol.

Yes

Turkey

$72,161 Vol.

No

Iran

$14,622 Vol.

No

The United States

$14,469 Vol.

No

Egypt

$17,066 Vol.

No

Saudi Arabia

$22,287 Vol.

No

Another Country

$64,307 Vol.

No

No Meeting by Feb 13

$293,499 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the country in which the next official diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by February 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Official diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the US and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their government. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.

The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, meetings through a third-party relaying messages (not including translators), or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present and interacting with each other will not count.

If the next official meetings between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Another Country”.

If no qualifying meeting takes place by February 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by Feb 13”.

If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the meeting begins.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$3,216,632
End Date
Feb 13, 2026
Created At
Feb 3, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the country in which the next official diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by February 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Official diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the US and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their government. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, meetings through a third-party relaying messages (not including translators), or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present and interacting with each other will not count. If the next official meetings between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Another Country”. If no qualifying meeting takes place by February 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by Feb 13”. If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the meeting begins. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: Yes

Disputed

Outcome proposed: Yes

Disputed

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Where will the US & Iran meet in person?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Oman" at 100%, followed by "Turkey" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Where will the US & Iran meet in person?" has generated $3.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Where will the US & Iran meet in person?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Where will the US & Iran meet in person?" is "Oman" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Turkey" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Where will the US & Iran meet in person?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.