Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Tarriffs·Politics

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

41%

$300K Vol.

$13.1K Liq.

35

Ends in 3 months

Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?
Tarriffs·Politics

Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?

1%

$23.2K Vol.

$9.2K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31?
Tarriffs·Politics

U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31?

81%

5–15%

$248K Vol.

$47.9K Liq.

22

Ends in 13 days

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
Tarriffs·Politics

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

13%

$29.3K Vol.

$13.8K Liq.

4

Ends in 3 months

Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?
Tarriffs·Politics

Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?

95%

$56.2K Vol.

$12.5K Liq.

4

Ends in 13 days

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?
Tarriffs·Politics

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

7%

$35.9K Vol.

$19.8K Liq.

4

Ends in 3 months

US x Cuba economic deal by...?
Tarriffs·Russia

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

64%

June 30

$25.4K Vol.

$21.7K Liq.

2

Ends in 3 months

Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?
Tarriffs·Politics

Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?

2%

$333K Vol.

$33.5K Liq.

25

Ends in 13 days

Will Trump visit China by...?
Tarriffs·Politics

Will Trump visit China by...?

80%

June 30

$5M Vol.

$852K today

$337K Liq.

286

Ends in about 1 month

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
Tarriffs·Politics

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

43%

$17.3K Vol.

$13.4K Liq.

3

Ends in 13 days

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
Tarriffs·Politics

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

26%

India

$61.0K Vol.

$131K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?
Tarriffs·Politics

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?

2%

$138K Vol.

$31.2K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

US Trade Deficit in 2026?
Tarriffs·Trump

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

36%

800–900B

$404 Vol.

$12.6K Liq.

Ends in 12 months

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?
Tarriffs·Politics

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?

16%

$0 Vol.

$11.9K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Bitcoin ETF Flows on December 22?
Tarriffs·Crypto

Bitcoin ETF Flows on December 22?

Negative

$470 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Services Down Parlay
Tarriffs·Business

Services Down Parlay

13%

$7.1K Vol.

$657 Liq.

2

Ends in 13 days

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in April 2026?
Tarriffs·Finance

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in April 2026?

85%

↑ $184

$1.6K Vol.

$9.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

TX-25 House Election Winner
Tarriffs·Politics

TX-25 House Election Winner

89%

Republican Party

$0 Vol.

$24.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?
Tarriffs·Politics

Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?

70%

December 31, 2026

$7.5K Vol.

$3.2K Liq.

23

Ends in 10 months

Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Tarriffs·Crypto

Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Up

$9.4K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Tarriffs.

Polymarket currently hosts 122 active markets for Tarriffs that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $6.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will Trump visit China by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will Trump visit China by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 80% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Tarriffs predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.