Google 100.0%
Anthropic <1%
Alibaba <1%
xAI <1%
$923,530 Vol.
$923,530 Vol.
Nov 30, 2025
Anthropic
$125,127 Vol.
No
Anthropic
$125,127 Vol.
No
Alibaba
$64,136 Vol.
No
Alibaba
$64,136 Vol.
No
xAI
$140,124 Vol.
No
xAI
$140,124 Vol.
No
Moonshot
$43,189 Vol.
No
Moonshot
$43,189 Vol.
No
Google
$104,805 Vol.
Yes
$104,805 Vol.
Yes
OpenAI
$221,768 Vol.
No
OpenAI
$221,768 Vol.
No
Z.ai
$44,901 Vol.
No
Z.ai
$44,901 Vol.
No
DeepSeek
$116,582 Vol.
No
DeepSeek
$116,582 Vol.
No
Mistral
$62,900 Vol.
No
Mistral
$62,900 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Created At: Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
Volume
$923,530End Date
Nov 30, 2025Created At
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Google 100.0%
Anthropic <1%
Alibaba <1%
xAI <1%
$923,530 Vol.
$923,530 Vol.
Nov 30, 2025
Anthropic
$125,127 Vol.
No
Alibaba
$64,136 Vol.
No
xAI
$140,124 Vol.
No
Moonshot
$43,189 Vol.
No
$104,805 Vol.
Yes
OpenAI
$221,768 Vol.
No
Z.ai
$44,901 Vol.
No
DeepSeek
$116,582 Vol.
No
Mistral
$62,900 Vol.
No
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Beware of external links.