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Which company has best AI model end of October?

Google 100.0%

OpenAI <1%

Meta <1%

Alibaba <1%

$4,657,178 Vol.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.

If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$4,657,178
End Date
Oct 31, 2025
Created At
Sep 10, 2025, 8:35 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Which company has best AI model end of October?

Google 100.0%

OpenAI <1%

Meta <1%

Alibaba <1%

$4,657,178 Vol.

Market icon

OpenAI

$339,584 Vol.

No

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Meta

$311,800 Vol.

No

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Google

$417,105 Vol.

Yes

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Alibaba

$645,156 Vol.

No

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Microsoft

$1,102,856 Vol.

No

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Tencent

$232,931 Vol.

No

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xAI

$287,505 Vol.

No

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Anthropic

$369,347 Vol.

No

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DeepSeek

$237,142 Vol.

No

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Mistral AI

$213,229 Vol.

No

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Z.ai

$230,099 Vol.

No

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Moonshot

$270,424 Vol.

No

About

Volume
$4,657,178
End Date
Oct 31, 2025
Created At
Sep 10, 2025, 8:35 PM ET

Beware of external links.