Market icon

Which company has the best AI model end of February?

Anthropic 76.6%

Google 12%

OpenAI 7.6%

xAI 2.1%

Polymarket

$5,684,892 Vol.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on February 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.

If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$5,684,892
End Date
Feb 28, 2026
Created At
Jan 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on February 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Which company has the best AI model end of February?

Anthropic 76.6%

Google 12%

OpenAI 7.6%

xAI 2.1%

Polymarket

$5,684,892 Vol.

Market icon

Anthropic

$840,041 Vol.

77%

Market icon

Google

$645,005 Vol.

12%

Market icon

OpenAI

$534,053 Vol.

8%

Market icon

xAI

$514,499 Vol.

2%

Market icon

DeepSeek

$546,369 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Z.ai

$443,982 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Alibaba

$400,525 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Moonshot

$336,566 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Baidu

$404,793 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Meituan

$497,549 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Mistral

$521,510 Vol.

<1%

Beware of external links.