Trader consensus heavily favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 78.5%, driven by persistent military escalations and stalled peace negotiations amid the ongoing Ukraine conflict. Russia's massive drone barrages on April 1-2, killing civilians and destroying infrastructure, directly rebuffed Zelenskyy's recent Easter truce offer relayed via US mediators, signaling Putin's disinterest in de-escalation without territorial concessions. Earlier trilateral US-Ukraine-Russia talks in Geneva in February produced no bilateral summit, despite Zelenskyy's stated readiness for direct dialogue outside Russia or Belarus. Low odds on neutral venues like Qatar/UAE (3.1%) and Turkey (2.4%) reflect faint hopes tied to prior mediation efforts and Zelenskyy's recent UAE defense pact, but ongoing front-line advances and diplomatic impasse dominate sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedNo meeting before 2027 79%
Qatar / UAE 3.0%
Turkey 2.3%
US 2.3%
$1,826,615 Vol.
$1,826,615 Vol.

No meeting before 2027
79%

Qatar / UAE
3%

Turkey
2%

US
2%

Russia
2%

Hungary
2%

Saudi Arabia
2%

Switzerland
2%

Belarus
1%

Ukraine
1%

China
1%

India
1%

Italy / Vatican
1%

Kazakhstan
1%
No meeting before 2027 79%
Qatar / UAE 3.0%
Turkey 2.3%
US 2.3%
$1,826,615 Vol.
$1,826,615 Vol.

No meeting before 2027
79%

Qatar / UAE
3%

Turkey
2%

US
2%

Russia
2%

Hungary
2%

Saudi Arabia
2%

Switzerland
2%

Belarus
1%

Ukraine
1%

China
1%

India
1%

Italy / Vatican
1%

Kazakhstan
1%
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Nov 6, 2025, 10:49 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 78.5%, driven by persistent military escalations and stalled peace negotiations amid the ongoing Ukraine conflict. Russia's massive drone barrages on April 1-2, killing civilians and destroying infrastructure, directly rebuffed Zelenskyy's recent Easter truce offer relayed via US mediators, signaling Putin's disinterest in de-escalation without territorial concessions. Earlier trilateral US-Ukraine-Russia talks in Geneva in February produced no bilateral summit, despite Zelenskyy's stated readiness for direct dialogue outside Russia or Belarus. Low odds on neutral venues like Qatar/UAE (3.1%) and Turkey (2.4%) reflect faint hopes tied to prior mediation efforts and Zelenskyy's recent UAE defense pact, but ongoing front-line advances and diplomatic impasse dominate sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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