Trader consensus heavily favors no in-person meeting between Presidents Trump and Putin by June 30 at 91.6%, reflecting the absence of any official announcements or reported preparations for a bilateral summit amid escalating geopolitical tensions. Recent phone discussions in March addressed the U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran and the ongoing Ukraine war stalemate—following their last face-to-face in Alaska in 2025—but yielded no progress toward scheduled talks. Diverging priorities, including Trump's threats to NATO over Iran fallout and Russia's battlefield claims in Ukraine, underscore logistical and diplomatic barriers. Late-breaking developments like a Ukraine ceasefire proposal, multilateral forums such as the 2026 G20 Miami summit, or rapid de-escalation in the Middle East could prompt an abrupt shift.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedNo meeting by June 30 91.7%
Gulf country 1.4%
Other EU country 1.4%
Turkey 1.1%
$4,667,162 Vol.
$4,667,162 Vol.

No meeting by June 30
92%

Gulf country
1%

Other EU country
1%

Turkey
1%

Russia
1%

United States
1%

Other
1%

China
1%

Belarus
<1%

Switzerland
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Australia
<1%

Finland
<1%

Japan
<1%

South Korea
<1%
No meeting by June 30 91.7%
Gulf country 1.4%
Other EU country 1.4%
Turkey 1.1%
$4,667,162 Vol.
$4,667,162 Vol.

No meeting by June 30
92%

Gulf country
1%

Other EU country
1%

Turkey
1%

Russia
1%

United States
1%

Other
1%

China
1%

Belarus
<1%

Switzerland
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Australia
<1%

Finland
<1%

Japan
<1%

South Korea
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no in-person meeting between Presidents Trump and Putin by June 30 at 91.6%, reflecting the absence of any official announcements or reported preparations for a bilateral summit amid escalating geopolitical tensions. Recent phone discussions in March addressed the U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran and the ongoing Ukraine war stalemate—following their last face-to-face in Alaska in 2025—but yielded no progress toward scheduled talks. Diverging priorities, including Trump's threats to NATO over Iran fallout and Russia's battlefield claims in Ukraine, underscore logistical and diplomatic barriers. Late-breaking developments like a Ukraine ceasefire proposal, multilateral forums such as the 2026 G20 Miami summit, or rapid de-escalation in the Middle East could prompt an abrupt shift.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions