Trader consensus heavily favors no meeting between President-elect Trump and Putin by June 30 at 80.5%, reflecting the absence of any confirmed diplomatic arrangements or venue negotiations amid the ongoing Ukraine conflict and mutual sanctions. Recent post-election developments, including Trump's Time magazine interview expressing intent for an early post-inauguration call with Putin to pursue a Ukraine ceasefire and Putin's congratulatory message, have sparked speculation but yielded no concrete summit plans. Logistical hurdles—such as security concerns, NATO ally sensitivities, and limited neutral-site options like Switzerland or Turkey—keep alternative locations below 4%, underscoring traders' skepticism on near-term feasibility despite Trump's foreign policy emphasis on rapid de-escalation talks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedNo meeting by June 30 80.7%
Other EU country 3.0%
Other 2.8%
Russia 2.1%
$2,839,987 Vol.
$2,839,987 Vol.

No meeting by June 30
81%

Other EU country
3%

Other
3%

Russia
2%

China
2%

United States
2%

Gulf country
2%

Turkey
1%

Belarus
1%

Switzerland
<1%

Japan
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Finland
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Australia
<1%
No meeting by June 30 80.7%
Other EU country 3.0%
Other 2.8%
Russia 2.1%
$2,839,987 Vol.
$2,839,987 Vol.

No meeting by June 30
81%

Other EU country
3%

Other
3%

Russia
2%

China
2%

United States
2%

Gulf country
2%

Turkey
1%

Belarus
1%

Switzerland
<1%

Japan
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Finland
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Australia
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no meeting between President-elect Trump and Putin by June 30 at 80.5%, reflecting the absence of any confirmed diplomatic arrangements or venue negotiations amid the ongoing Ukraine conflict and mutual sanctions. Recent post-election developments, including Trump's Time magazine interview expressing intent for an early post-inauguration call with Putin to pursue a Ukraine ceasefire and Putin's congratulatory message, have sparked speculation but yielded no concrete summit plans. Logistical hurdles—such as security concerns, NATO ally sensitivities, and limited neutral-site options like Switzerland or Turkey—keep alternative locations below 4%, underscoring traders' skepticism on near-term feasibility despite Trump's foreign policy emphasis on rapid de-escalation talks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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