Texas's 13th Congressional District, a solidly Republican stronghold with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+24, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican Party at 91.5% for the House election winner, bolstered by incumbent Rep. Ronny Jackson's unchallenged dominance after winning 68% in the March 5 GOP primary. No recent polls have emerged in the past 30 days to suggest competitiveness, with Jackson's 2022 victory margin exceeding 50 points reinforcing the safe seat dynamics amid limited Democratic resources and candidate visibility. While national midterm trends or unforeseen local turnout surges could theoretically narrow odds, structural incumbency advantages and district demographics make an upset highly improbable ahead of the November 5 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedTX-13 House Election Winner
TX-13 House Election Winner
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
9%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$1,107 Vol.
92%
Democratic Party
$0 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 13th Congressional District, a solidly Republican stronghold with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+24, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican Party at 91.5% for the House election winner, bolstered by incumbent Rep. Ronny Jackson's unchallenged dominance after winning 68% in the March 5 GOP primary. No recent polls have emerged in the past 30 days to suggest competitiveness, with Jackson's 2022 victory margin exceeding 50 points reinforcing the safe seat dynamics amid limited Democratic resources and candidate visibility. While national midterm trends or unforeseen local turnout surges could theoretically narrow odds, structural incumbency advantages and district demographics make an upset highly improbable ahead of the November 5 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$1,107End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 13th Congressional District, a solidly Republican stronghold with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+24, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican Party at 91.5% for the House election winner, bolstered by incumbent Rep. Ronny Jackson's unchallenged dominance after winning 68% in the March 5 GOP primary. No recent polls have emerged in the past 30 days to suggest competitiveness, with Jackson's 2022 victory margin exceeding 50 points reinforcing the safe seat dynamics amid limited Democratic resources and candidate visibility. While national midterm trends or unforeseen local turnout surges could theoretically narrow odds, structural incumbency advantages and district demographics make an upset highly improbable ahead of the November 5 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$1,107End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 13th Congressional District, a solidly Republican stronghold with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+24, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican Party at 91.5% for the House election winner, bolstered by incumbent Rep. Ronny Jackson's unchallenged dominance after winning 68% in the March 5 GOP primary. No recent polls have emerged in the past 30 days to suggest competitiveness, with Jackson's 2022 victory margin exceeding 50 points reinforcing the safe seat dynamics amid limited Democratic resources and candidate visibility. While national midterm trends or unforeseen local turnout surges could theoretically narrow odds, structural incumbency advantages and district demographics make an upset highly improbable ahead of the November 5 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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