Trader sentiment on South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation reflects heightened upside risks from surging oil prices amid Middle East tensions, with the 3.0%+ outcome leading at 41.5% implied probability—driven by Korea's heavy reliance on imported energy. Headline CPI held steady at the Bank of Korea's 2% target in February 2026 (YoY), matching January, though core inflation edged to 2.5% and producer prices hit a 19-month high of 2.4%. The government's March 31 supplementary budget of 26.2 trillion won targets high energy costs, while BoK maintains its base rate at 2.5% and 2.0% CPI forecast; private estimates like Standard Chartered's 2.4% cite $85/barrel oil. March CPI, due April 2, looms as a key catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated3.0%+ 46%
2.4% to 2.6% 25%
1.8% to 2.0% 21%
<1.5% 14.2%
$10,007 Vol.
$10,007 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<1.5%
14%
1.5% to 1.7%
28%
1.8% to 2.0%
21%
2.1% to 2.3%
9%
2.4% to 2.6%
25%
2.7% to 2.9%
4%
3.0%+
46%
3.0%+ 46%
2.4% to 2.6% 25%
1.8% to 2.0% 21%
<1.5% 14.2%
$10,007 Vol.
$10,007 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<1.5%
$937 Vol.
14%
1.5% to 1.7%
$942 Vol.
28%
1.8% to 2.0%
$0 Vol.
21%
2.1% to 2.3%
$0 Vol.
9%
2.4% to 2.6%
$0 Vol.
25%
2.7% to 2.9%
$80 Vol.
4%
3.0%+
$8,048 Vol.
46%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Trader sentiment on South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation reflects heightened upside risks from surging oil prices amid Middle East tensions, with the 3.0%+ outcome leading at 41.5% implied probability—driven by Korea's heavy reliance on imported energy. Headline CPI held steady at the Bank of Korea's 2% target in February 2026 (YoY), matching January, though core inflation edged to 2.5% and producer prices hit a 19-month high of 2.4%. The government's March 31 supplementary budget of 26.2 trillion won targets high energy costs, while BoK maintains its base rate at 2.5% and 2.0% CPI forecast; private estimates like Standard Chartered's 2.4% cite $85/barrel oil. March CPI, due April 2, looms as a key catalyst.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Market Opened: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Volume
$10,007End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Trader sentiment on South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation reflects heightened upside risks from surging oil prices amid Middle East tensions, with the 3.0%+ outcome leading at 41.5% implied probability—driven by Korea's heavy reliance on imported energy. Headline CPI held steady at the Bank of Korea's 2% target in February 2026 (YoY), matching January, though core inflation edged to 2.5% and producer prices hit a 19-month high of 2.4%. The government's March 31 supplementary budget of 26.2 trillion won targets high energy costs, while BoK maintains its base rate at 2.5% and 2.0% CPI forecast; private estimates like Standard Chartered's 2.4% cite $85/barrel oil. March CPI, due April 2, looms as a key catalyst.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Volume
$10,007End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation reflects heightened upside risks from surging oil prices amid Middle East tensions, with the 3.0%+ outcome leading at 41.5% implied probability—driven by Korea's heavy reliance on imported energy. Headline CPI held steady at the Bank of Korea's 2% target in February 2026 (YoY), matching January, though core inflation edged to 2.5% and producer prices hit a 19-month high of 2.4%. The government's March 31 supplementary budget of 26.2 trillion won targets high energy costs, while BoK maintains its base rate at 2.5% and 2.0% CPI forecast; private estimates like Standard Chartered's 2.4% cite $85/barrel oil. March CPI, due April 2, looms as a key catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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