HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leads trader consensus at 49% for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, edging Vice President J.D. Vance (39%) and Secretary of State Marco Rubio (22%), amid a crowded early field lacking President Trump's endorsement. RFK Jr.'s surge stems from his high-profile HHS role, recent April 16 House testimony defending vaccine policies and MAHA initiatives, plus family signals of a 2028 bid, contrasting polls like CPAC (Vance 53%, Rubio 35%) and Yale Youth (Vance 43%). Rubio benefits from foreign policy visibility on Iran. Tight dynamics reflect competing cabinet strengths and no clear heir; 2026 midterms, Trump signals, or policy wins could tip balances.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance 39.1%
Marco Rubio 21.6%
Tucker Carlson 4.5%
Ron DeSantis 2.6%
$567,404,445 Vol.
$567,404,445 Vol.
Nov 7, 2028
Earn 4%
J.D. Vance
39%
Marco Rubio
22%
Tucker Carlson
4%
Ron DeSantis
3%
Donald Trump Jr.
2%
Donald Trump
2%
Thomas Massie
2%
Glenn Youngkin
2%
Tulsi Gabbard
1%
Rand Paul
1%
Vivek Ramaswamy
1%
Ivanka Trump
1%
Elon Musk
1%
Ted Cruz
1%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
1%
Nikki Haley
1%
Greg Abbott
1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
1%
Brian Kemp
1%
Josh Hawley
1%
Matt Gaetz
1%
Eric Trump
1%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
1%
Katie Britt
1%
Tom Brady
1%
Steve Bannon
1%
Kim Kardashian
1%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Byron Donalds
1%
Elise Stefanik
1%
Erika Kirk
1%
John Thune
1%
Kristi Noem
1%
Joe Kent
1%
Mike Pence
1%
J.D. Vance 39.1%
Marco Rubio 21.6%
Tucker Carlson 4.5%
Ron DeSantis 2.6%
$567,404,445 Vol.
$567,404,445 Vol.
Nov 7, 2028
Earn 4%
J.D. Vance
$12,144,347 Vol.
39%
Marco Rubio
$8,032,287 Vol.
22%
Tucker Carlson
$10,311,892 Vol.
4%
Ron DeSantis
$12,552,077 Vol.
3%
Donald Trump Jr.
$6,749,865 Vol.
2%
Donald Trump
$7,236,038 Vol.
2%
Thomas Massie
$3,256,103 Vol.
2%
Glenn Youngkin
$6,395,513 Vol.
2%
Tulsi Gabbard
$11,313,177 Vol.
1%
Rand Paul
$17,089,233 Vol.
1%
Vivek Ramaswamy
$13,854,884 Vol.
1%
Ivanka Trump
$6,290,499 Vol.
1%
Elon Musk
$26,732,372 Vol.
1%
Ted Cruz
$15,216,772 Vol.
1%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
$4,702,063 Vol.
1%
Nikki Haley
$8,184,146 Vol.
1%
Greg Abbott
$18,032,012 Vol.
1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$12,684,558 Vol.
1%
Brian Kemp
$14,387,857 Vol.
1%
Josh Hawley
$17,750,154 Vol.
1%
Matt Gaetz
$16,748,161 Vol.
1%
Eric Trump
$5,448,449 Vol.
1%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
$29,292,120 Vol.
1%
Katie Britt
$25,653,005 Vol.
1%
Tom Brady
$29,350,262 Vol.
1%
Steve Bannon
$19,317,856 Vol.
1%
Kim Kardashian
$25,429,219 Vol.
1%
Pete Hegseth
$4,076,135 Vol.
1%
Byron Donalds
$36,417,507 Vol.
1%
Elise Stefanik
$23,360,979 Vol.
1%
Erika Kirk
$14,357,770 Vol.
1%
John Thune
$31,148,970 Vol.
1%
Kristi Noem
$30,844,708 Vol.
1%
Joe Kent
$4,262,234 Vol.
1%
Mike Pence
$38,791,426 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leads trader consensus at 49% for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, edging Vice President J.D. Vance (39%) and Secretary of State Marco Rubio (22%), amid a crowded early field lacking President Trump's endorsement. RFK Jr.'s surge stems from his high-profile HHS role, recent April 16 House testimony defending vaccine policies and MAHA initiatives, plus family signals of a 2028 bid, contrasting polls like CPAC (Vance 53%, Rubio 35%) and Yale Youth (Vance 43%). Rubio benefits from foreign policy visibility on Iran. Tight dynamics reflect competing cabinet strengths and no clear heir; 2026 midterms, Trump signals, or policy wins could tip balances.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market Opened: Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET
Volume
$567,404,445End Date
Nov 7, 2028Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leads trader consensus at 49% for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, edging Vice President J.D. Vance (39%) and Secretary of State Marco Rubio (22%), amid a crowded early field lacking President Trump's endorsement. RFK Jr.'s surge stems from his high-profile HHS role, recent April 16 House testimony defending vaccine policies and MAHA initiatives, plus family signals of a 2028 bid, contrasting polls like CPAC (Vance 53%, Rubio 35%) and Yale Youth (Vance 43%). Rubio benefits from foreign policy visibility on Iran. Tight dynamics reflect competing cabinet strengths and no clear heir; 2026 midterms, Trump signals, or policy wins could tip balances.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$567,404,445End Date
Nov 7, 2028Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leads trader consensus at 49% for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, edging Vice President J.D. Vance (39%) and Secretary of State Marco Rubio (22%), amid a crowded early field lacking President Trump's endorsement. RFK Jr.'s surge stems from his high-profile HHS role, recent April 16 House testimony defending vaccine policies and MAHA initiatives, plus family signals of a 2028 bid, contrasting polls like CPAC (Vance 53%, Rubio 35%) and Yale Youth (Vance 43%). Rubio benefits from foreign policy visibility on Iran. Tight dynamics reflect competing cabinet strengths and no clear heir; 2026 midterms, Trump signals, or policy wins could tip balances.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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