Market icon
Politics·US Election

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Market icon
Politics·US Election

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance 36.9%

Marco Rubio 20.9%

Tucker Carlson 5.5%

Ron DeSantis 2.9%

Polymarket

$483,142,624 Vol.

J.D. Vance 36.9%

Marco Rubio 20.9%

Tucker Carlson 5.5%

Ron DeSantis 2.9%

Polymarket

$483,142,624 Vol.

Market icon

J.D. Vance

$6,724,283 Vol.

37%

Market icon

Marco Rubio

$6,537,238 Vol.

21%

Market icon

Tucker Carlson

$7,106,969 Vol.

6%

Market icon

Ron DeSantis

$7,794,483 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Donald Trump

$6,213,912 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Thomas Massie

$2,646,126 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Glenn Youngkin

$5,548,290 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Donald Trump Jr.

$5,808,238 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Rand Paul

$15,912,152 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Vivek Ramaswamy

$12,268,593 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Ivanka Trump

$4,856,412 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Elon Musk

$21,604,866 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$3,854,864 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Nikki Haley

$7,068,897 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Greg Abbott

$17,115,718 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Ted Cruz

$13,839,083 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Tulsi Gabbard

$8,876,587 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Matt Gaetz

$15,087,921 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$10,821,817 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Brian Kemp

$12,768,578 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Eric Trump

$3,784,933 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$27,872,362 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Katie Britt

$24,180,810 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Pete Hegseth

$1,270,141 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Elise Stefanik

$21,128,061 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Josh Hawley

$15,477,627 Vol.

1%

Market icon

John Thune

$28,540,460 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Kristi Noem

$27,737,299 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Joe Kent

$1,659,550 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Tom Brady

$27,473,085 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Steve Bannon

$14,440,039 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Kim Kardashian

$22,642,823 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Byron Donalds

$32,836,672 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Erika Kirk

$9,742,173 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Mike Pence

$31,904,175 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 49% to secure the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, driven by his high-visibility Make America Healthy Again (MAHA) agenda resonating with populist base voters despite growing GOP resistance to his health policy initiatives as of late March. Vice President J.D. Vance follows at 37%, leveraging his position as heir apparent in an open primary shaped by President Trump's term limits, though his odds have softened amid domestic challenges. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 21% share surged over the past two weeks following reports of Trump polling major donors at Mar-a-Lago who overwhelmingly favored him over Vance, amplified by Rubio's leading role in ongoing Iran war diplomacy now exceeding 25 days. 2026 midterms loom as a key test for early frontrunners.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 49% to secure the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, driven by his high-visibility Make America Healthy Again (MAHA) agenda resonating with populist base voters despite growing GOP resistance to his health policy initiatives as of late March. Vice President J.D. Vance follows at 37%, leveraging his position as heir apparent in an open primary shaped by President Trump's term limits, though his odds have softened amid domestic challenges. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 21% share surged over the past two weeks following reports of Trump polling major donors at Mar-a-Lago who overwhelmingly favored him over Vance, amplified by Rubio's leading role in ongoing Iran war diplomacy now exceeding 25 days. 2026 midterms loom as a key test for early frontrunners.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 49% to secure the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, driven by his high-visibility Make America Healthy Again (MAHA) agenda resonating with populist base voters despite growing GOP resistance to his health policy initiatives as of late March. Vice President J.D. Vance follows at 37%, leveraging his position as heir apparent in an open primary shaped by President Trump's term limits, though his odds have softened amid domestic challenges. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 21% share surged over the past two weeks following reports of Trump polling major donors at Mar-a-Lago who overwhelmingly favored him over Vance, amplified by Rubio's leading role in ongoing Iran war diplomacy now exceeding 25 days. 2026 midterms loom as a key test for early frontrunners.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 49% to secure the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, driven by his high-visibility Make America Healthy Again (MAHA) agenda resonating with populist base voters despite growing GOP resistance to his health policy initiatives as of late March. Vice President J.D. Vance follows at 37%, leveraging his position as heir apparent in an open primary shaped by President Trump's term limits, though his odds have softened amid domestic challenges. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 21% share surged over the past two weeks following reports of Trump polling major donors at Mar-a-Lago who overwhelmingly favored him over Vance, amplified by Rubio's leading role in ongoing Iran war diplomacy now exceeding 25 days. 2026 midterms loom as a key test for early frontrunners.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Related

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Republican Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "J.D. Vance" at 37%, followed by "Marco Rubio" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $483.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028" is "J.D. Vance" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marco Rubio" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.