Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. holds trader consensus at 49% implied probability for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination following his rousing reception from the MAGA base at CPAC on March 28, where chants of support underscored his growing appeal amid the Make America Healthy Again movement. Vice President J.D. Vance trails at 37%, with odds hitting a recent low amid unfavorable early polling on his popularity, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 21% share has surged on signals from Republican donors preferring him over Vance. President Trump's two-term limit bars his re-election, opening the primary field ahead of the 2026 midterms that could reshape early momentum and fundraising paths to victory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance 36.8%
Marco Rubio 20.8%
Tucker Carlson 5.0%
Ron DeSantis 2.9%
$486,546,890 Vol.
$486,546,890 Vol.
Nov 7, 2028
Earn 4%
J.D. Vance
37%
Marco Rubio
21%
Tucker Carlson
5%
Ron DeSantis
3%
Donald Trump
2%
Glenn Youngkin
2%
Thomas Massie
2%
Donald Trump Jr.
2%
Rand Paul
1%
Vivek Ramaswamy
1%
Ivanka Trump
1%
Ted Cruz
1%
Elon Musk
1%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
1%
Nikki Haley
1%
Greg Abbott
1%
Tulsi Gabbard
1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
1%
Brian Kemp
1%
Matt Gaetz
1%
Eric Trump
1%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
1%
Katie Britt
1%
Kristi Noem
1%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Elise Stefanik
1%
Josh Hawley
1%
John Thune
1%
Joe Kent
1%
Tom Brady
1%
Steve Bannon
1%
Byron Donalds
1%
Kim Kardashian
1%
Erika Kirk
1%
Mike Pence
1%
J.D. Vance 36.8%
Marco Rubio 20.8%
Tucker Carlson 5.0%
Ron DeSantis 2.9%
$486,546,890 Vol.
$486,546,890 Vol.
Nov 7, 2028
Earn 4%
J.D. Vance
$6,788,722 Vol.
37%
Marco Rubio
$6,557,498 Vol.
21%
Tucker Carlson
$7,195,943 Vol.
5%
Ron DeSantis
$7,875,619 Vol.
3%
Donald Trump
$6,228,666 Vol.
2%
Glenn Youngkin
$5,564,461 Vol.
2%
Thomas Massie
$2,656,970 Vol.
2%
Donald Trump Jr.
$5,822,467 Vol.
2%
Rand Paul
$15,923,505 Vol.
1%
Vivek Ramaswamy
$12,284,387 Vol.
1%
Ivanka Trump
$5,228,033 Vol.
1%
Ted Cruz
$13,955,181 Vol.
1%
Elon Musk
$21,624,753 Vol.
1%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
$3,883,123 Vol.
1%
Nikki Haley
$7,091,403 Vol.
1%
Greg Abbott
$17,142,433 Vol.
1%
Tulsi Gabbard
$9,026,195 Vol.
1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$10,874,019 Vol.
1%
Brian Kemp
$12,821,142 Vol.
1%
Matt Gaetz
$15,116,628 Vol.
1%
Eric Trump
$4,030,338 Vol.
1%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
$27,900,016 Vol.
1%
Katie Britt
$24,234,139 Vol.
1%
Kristi Noem
$27,777,922 Vol.
1%
Pete Hegseth
$1,341,850 Vol.
1%
Elise Stefanik
$21,194,732 Vol.
1%
Josh Hawley
$15,534,341 Vol.
1%
John Thune
$28,669,320 Vol.
1%
Joe Kent
$1,679,241 Vol.
1%
Tom Brady
$27,655,948 Vol.
1%
Steve Bannon
$14,538,544 Vol.
1%
Byron Donalds
$32,889,300 Vol.
1%
Kim Kardashian
$22,848,176 Vol.
1%
Erika Kirk
$10,505,315 Vol.
1%
Mike Pence
$32,087,183 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. holds trader consensus at 49% implied probability for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination following his rousing reception from the MAGA base at CPAC on March 28, where chants of support underscored his growing appeal amid the Make America Healthy Again movement. Vice President J.D. Vance trails at 37%, with odds hitting a recent low amid unfavorable early polling on his popularity, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 21% share has surged on signals from Republican donors preferring him over Vance. President Trump's two-term limit bars his re-election, opening the primary field ahead of the 2026 midterms that could reshape early momentum and fundraising paths to victory.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market Opened: Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET
Volume
$486,546,890End Date
Nov 7, 2028Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. holds trader consensus at 49% implied probability for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination following his rousing reception from the MAGA base at CPAC on March 28, where chants of support underscored his growing appeal amid the Make America Healthy Again movement. Vice President J.D. Vance trails at 37%, with odds hitting a recent low amid unfavorable early polling on his popularity, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 21% share has surged on signals from Republican donors preferring him over Vance. President Trump's two-term limit bars his re-election, opening the primary field ahead of the 2026 midterms that could reshape early momentum and fundraising paths to victory.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$486,546,890End Date
Nov 7, 2028Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. holds trader consensus at 49% implied probability for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination following his rousing reception from the MAGA base at CPAC on March 28, where chants of support underscored his growing appeal amid the Make America Healthy Again movement. Vice President J.D. Vance trails at 37%, with odds hitting a recent low amid unfavorable early polling on his popularity, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 21% share has surged on signals from Republican donors preferring him over Vance. President Trump's two-term limit bars his re-election, opening the primary field ahead of the 2026 midterms that could reshape early momentum and fundraising paths to victory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions