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Portugal Presidential Election

$93,744,239 Vol.

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 42%

António José Seguro (IND) 30.4%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) 14.8%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 9%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
Volume
$93,744,239
End Date
Jan 25, 2026
Created At
Aug 29, 2025, 7:00 PM UTC
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$93,744,239 Vol.

Market icon

Portugal Presidential Election

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 42%

António José Seguro (IND) 30.4%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) 14.8%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 9%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Market icon

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$1,586,499 Vol.

42%

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António José Seguro (IND)

$994,364 Vol.

30%

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João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

$1,080,908 Vol.

15%

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Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$850,282 Vol.

9%

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André Ventura (CH)

$3,189,187 Vol.

5%

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Rui Moreira (IND)

$3,561,071 Vol.

<1%

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Paulo Portas (CDS)

$1,110,144 Vol.

<1%

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Catarina Martins (BE)

$559,109 Vol.

<1%

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Tim Vieira (IND)

$320,995 Vol.

<1%

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Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$4,449,690 Vol.

<1%

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André Pestana (IND)

$1,842,881 Vol.

<1%

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Orlando Cruz (IND)

$749,224 Vol.

<1%

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Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$9,082,530 Vol.

<1%

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Manuela Magno (IND)

$3,467,155 Vol.

<1%

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Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$8,676,903 Vol.

<1%

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Vitorino Silva (IND)

$4,119,668 Vol.

<1%

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Ângela Maryah (IND)

$7,061,754 Vol.

<1%

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António Filipe (PCP)

$6,596,756 Vol.

<1%

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Raul Perestrello (IND)

$17,375,543 Vol.

<1%

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José Cardoso (PLS)

$8,197,282 Vol.

<1%

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Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$3,849,727 Vol.

<1%

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Jorge Pinto

$5,022,568 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$93,744,239
End Date
Jan 25, 2026
Created At
Aug 29, 2025, 7:00 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.