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Politics·Global Elections

Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round Winner

António José Seguro (IND) 100.0%

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN) <1%

André Ventura (CH) <1%

Aristides Teixeira (IND) <1%

Polymarket

$3,866,362 Vol.

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that receives the highest number of valid votes in the first round of this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the first round of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
Volume
$3,866,362
End Date
Jan 18, 2026
Created At
Dec 3, 2025, 3:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that receives the highest number of valid votes in the first round of this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the first round of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Market icon
Politics·Global Elections

Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round Winner

António José Seguro (IND) 100.0%

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN) <1%

André Ventura (CH) <1%

Aristides Teixeira (IND) <1%

Polymarket

$3,866,362 Vol.

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Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$25,873 Vol.

No

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André Ventura (CH)

$1,035,636 Vol.

No

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Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$24,956 Vol.

No

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Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$359,891 Vol.

No

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Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$316,566 Vol.

No

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Vitorino Silva (IND)

$29,668 Vol.

No

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António Filipe (PCP)

$28,366 Vol.

No

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José Cardoso (PLS)

$117,875 Vol.

No

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Jorge Pinto

$18,618 Vol.

No

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Humberto Correia

$12,586 Vol.

No

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João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

$566,344 Vol.

No

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Paulo Portas (CDS)

$23,034 Vol.

No

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Tim Vieira (IND)

$43,006 Vol.

No

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André Pestana (IND)

$18,480 Vol.

No

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Orlando Cruz (IND)

$34,550 Vol.

No

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Manuela Magno (IND)

$72,477 Vol.

No

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Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$20,654 Vol.

No

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António José Seguro (IND)

$740,603 Vol.

Yes

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Ângela Maryah (IND)

$27,544 Vol.

No

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Raul Perestrello (IND)

$25,377 Vol.

No

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Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$258,295 Vol.

No

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Manuel João Vieira

$21,951 Vol.

No

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Rui Moreira (IND)

$22,237 Vol.

No

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Catarina Martins (BE)

$21,776 Vol.

No

Related

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Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?

99%
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Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 50% and 52%?

63%
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Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

67%

Beware of external links.