New York Democratic Governor Primary Winner

Name: New York Democratic Governor Primary Winner
Start: 2025-11-14T19:36:42.288Z
End: 2026-06-23T00:00:00.000Z

Elections·US Election

New York Democratic Governor Primary Winner

$45,308 Vol.

Jun 23, 2026

Kathy Hochul

$36,414 Vol.

95%

Antonio Delgado

$8,894 Vol.

$45,308 Vol.

Jun 23, 2026

Kathy Hochul

$36,414 Vol.

95%

Antonio Delgado

$8,894 Vol.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New York.

If no 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Market Opened: Nov 14, 2025, 2:29 PM ET

Volume

$45,308

End Date

Jun 23, 2026

Market Opened

Nov 14, 2025, 2:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Kathy Hochul holds a commanding 94.5% implied probability as the New York Democratic gubernatorial primary frontrunner, driven by her incumbency advantage, 2022 general election victory, and firm control of state party infrastructure amid no declared major challengers. Lt. Gov. Antonio Delgado lags at 2.1%, with trader consensus viewing him as an unviable alternative despite past speculation. No significant developments in the past 30 days—such as rival entries, endorsements, or polling shifts—have disrupted her position, aligning with historical base rates where sitting governors secure renomination over 90% of the time. Potential challengers include scandals, plummeting approval ratings, or a strong progressive entrant before June 2026 primary filing deadlines.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated Mar 27, 2026, 4:19 PM UTC

Will Sherrod Brown be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Ohio?

96%

Will Charles Booker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?

81%

Will John Shulli be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?

56%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"New York Democratic Governor Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kathy Hochul" at 95%, followed by "Antonio Delgado" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "New York Democratic Governor Primary Winner" has generated $45.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 14, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "New York Democratic Governor Primary Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "New York Democratic Governor Primary Winner" is "Kathy Hochul" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Antonio Delgado" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "New York Democratic Governor Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "New York Democratic Governor Primary Winner." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $45.3K traded on “New York Democratic Governor Primary Winner,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "New York Democratic Governor Primary Winner," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 95¢ for "Kathy Hochul" in the "New York Democratic Governor Primary Winner" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 95% chance that "Kathy Hochul" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 95¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 5¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "New York Democratic Governor Primary Winner" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Jun 23, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "New York Democratic Governor Primary Winner" market has a growing discussion of 4 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "New York Democratic Governor Primary Winner." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

New York Democratic Governor Primary Winner

New York Democratic Governor Primary Winner

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Market Context

Rules

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Comments (4)

Top Holders

Positions

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