Republican incumbent Brad Knott secured his party's nomination with nearly 90 percent of the vote in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Paul Barringer advanced from a more competitive Democratic contest. North Carolina's 13th district carries a solid Republican lean under the current map, reflected in nonpartisan ratings that classify the seat as safe or solid for the GOP. This structural advantage, combined with Knott's fundraising edge and the absence of major scandals or shifts in the past month, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome in the November 3 general election. The race remains subject to standard midterm dynamics, though no scheduled events are positioned to materially alter the current positioning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Republican Party
84%
Democratic Party
16%
Republican Party
84%
Democratic Party
16%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Brad Knott secured his party's nomination with nearly 90 percent of the vote in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Paul Barringer advanced from a more competitive Democratic contest. North Carolina's 13th district carries a solid Republican lean under the current map, reflected in nonpartisan ratings that classify the seat as safe or solid for the GOP. This structural advantage, combined with Knott's fundraising edge and the absence of major scandals or shifts in the past month, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome in the November 3 general election. The race remains subject to standard midterm dynamics, though no scheduled events are positioned to materially alter the current positioning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문