Brad Knott, the Republican incumbent, holds a strong position in North Carolina's 13th congressional district due to its R+8 partisan voting index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles following mid-decade redistricting. Knott secured renomination with nearly 90% in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Paul Barringer advanced from his primary with 59%. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, citing the district's voter composition across Johnston, Wake, and surrounding counties. With the November 3 general election approaching and limited polling available, trader consensus reflects the structural advantages for the incumbent, though outcomes remain subject to turnout and any late shifts in the campaign environment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNC-13 House Election Winner
NC-13 House Election Winner
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Brad Knott (R)
84%
Paul Barringer (D)
16%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Brad Knott (R)
$4,318 Vol.
84%
Paul Barringer (D)
$5,314 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brad Knott, the Republican incumbent, holds a strong position in North Carolina's 13th congressional district due to its R+8 partisan voting index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles following mid-decade redistricting. Knott secured renomination with nearly 90% in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Paul Barringer advanced from his primary with 59%. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, citing the district's voter composition across Johnston, Wake, and surrounding counties. With the November 3 general election approaching and limited polling available, trader consensus reflects the structural advantages for the incumbent, though outcomes remain subject to turnout and any late shifts in the campaign environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$9,632End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brad Knott, the Republican incumbent, holds a strong position in North Carolina's 13th congressional district due to its R+8 partisan voting index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles following mid-decade redistricting. Knott secured renomination with nearly 90% in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Paul Barringer advanced from his primary with 59%. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, citing the district's voter composition across Johnston, Wake, and surrounding counties. With the November 3 general election approaching and limited polling available, trader consensus reflects the structural advantages for the incumbent, though outcomes remain subject to turnout and any late shifts in the campaign environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$9,632End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Brad Knott, the Republican incumbent, holds a strong position in North Carolina's 13th congressional district due to its R+8 partisan voting index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles following mid-decade redistricting. Knott secured renomination with nearly 90% in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Paul Barringer advanced from his primary with 59%. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, citing the district's voter composition across Johnston, Wake, and surrounding counties. With the November 3 general election approaching and limited polling available, trader consensus reflects the structural advantages for the incumbent, though outcomes remain subject to turnout and any late shifts in the campaign environment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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